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This blog is produced by David Merkel CFA, a registered representative of Finacorp Securities as an outside business activity. As such, Finacorp Securities does not review or approve materials presented herein. By viewing or participating in discussion on this blog, you understand that the opinions expressed within do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of Finacorp Securities, but are the opinions of the author and individual participants. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Before investing, consider your investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Finacorp Securities is a member FINRA and SIPC.

David Merkel

At my blog there are two main purposes: teaching investors about better investing through risk control, and tying all of the markets into a coherent whole.

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    Beginning of the Second Quarter Portfolio Reshaping

    Well, it’s that time again. Time to make a few portfolio swaps. At present I have two placeholder securities, the industrial Spider, and the technology Spider. Those will go, and I may sell one more security, but that’s it. I will use the proceeds to buy 2-4 positions, so that I will end with 34-35 positions.

    When I run across an idea between quarters, I write it down on a sheet and wait for the next reshaping. Well, here is the list of tickers I came across over the last 3 months:

    AAUK ACE ADI ADPT ADSK ALB ALL ALV AMAT AMGN AMH AN ANDS APD ARG ASH AW AZN BA BDK BGC BNI BRCD BTU CAG CB CC CCI CHRS CIU CLNE CNQ CONN CPB CRC CRI CSCO CSE CSX CTHR CVG CVI DEO DITC DKS DNR DRI EMC EQ ETFC ETP FMX FRX FSII FTD GDI GIII GT GTI GTS HAR HBOOY HCC HD HOC HTCH HTH HUM IBM INFS ISLN ITRN JBL JCI JCP JRT JTX KFS KMP KMX KOP KR KSS LAMR LDIS LM LOW LXK MAS MCHP MMP MNKD MSN MTA MTW MYE NII NSC NTGR NTT NUHC OMX ORCL OVTI OXY PARL PAYX PBR PCZ PERY PHH PMRY POM PTEN PVX PX QTM RAI RDC RDS RELL RES RHD RJF ROST RSC S SCSS SCX SHW SIRF SNDK SNY SPIL STX STZ SU SUN SUR SVU T TBAC TDW TGT TM TOT TRV TSN TSO TXN TXT TZOO UNP UPRT URBN VMW VOXX VZ WAG WC WDC WHR WIN WLP WNR WPC WTM XRX YUM ZURNY

    One of the fun parts of this exercise is that I invite readers to submit their own ideas as well. Feel free to leave them in the comments below.

    From here, I will update my industry model, run some screens, and post additional tickers. After that, I will compare the replacement candidates against my existing portfolio, using my multifactor appoach. I will keep you apprised of my thoughts as I move toward making the portfolio changes.

    Full disclosure: long XLI XLK

    One Response to “ Beginning of the Second Quarter Portfolio Reshaping ”

    1. Doug Says:

      I think XL Capital (XL) is a good bet here. It is trading at ~60% of book value, and their exposure to the worst parts of the financial guarantee business of SCA is relatively low. Also, the company just hired Mike McGavick as CEO. He did a great job turning around Safeco.

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