Beginning of the Second Quarter Portfolio Reshaping

Well, it’s that time again. Time to make a few portfolio swaps. At present I have two placeholder securities, the industrial Spider, and the technology Spider. Those will go, and I may sell one more security, but that’s it. I will use the proceeds to buy 2-4 positions, so that I will end with 34-35 positions.

When I run across an idea between quarters, I write it down on a sheet and wait for the next reshaping. Well, here is the list of tickers I came across over the last 3 months:

AAUK ACE ADI ADPT ADSK ALB ALL ALV AMAT AMGN AMH AN ANDS APD ARG ASH AW AZN BA BDK BGC BNI BRCD BTU CAG CB CC CCI CHRS CIU CLNE CNQ CONN CPB CRC CRI CSCO CSE CSX CTHR CVG CVI DEO DITC DKS DNR DRI EMC EQ ETFC ETP FMX FRX FSII FTD GDI GIII GT GTI GTS HAR HBOOY HCC HD HOC HTCH HTH HUM IBM INFS ISLN ITRN JBL JCI JCP JRT JTX KFS KMP KMX KOP KR KSS LAMR LDIS LM LOW LXK MAS MCHP MMP MNKD MSN MTA MTW MYE NII NSC NTGR NTT NUHC OMX ORCL OVTI OXY PARL PAYX PBR PCZ PERY PHH PMRY POM PTEN PVX PX QTM RAI RDC RDS RELL RES RHD RJF ROST RSC S SCSS SCX SHW SIRF SNDK SNY SPIL STX STZ SU SUN SUR SVU T TBAC TDW TGT TM TOT TRV TSN TSO TXN TXT TZOO UNP UPRT URBN VMW VOXX VZ WAG WC WDC WHR WIN WLP WNR WPC WTM XRX YUM ZURNY

One of the fun parts of this exercise is that I invite readers to submit their own ideas as well. Feel free to leave them in the comments below.

From here, I will update my industry model, run some screens, and post additional tickers. After that, I will compare the replacement candidates against my existing portfolio, using my multifactor appoach. I will keep you apprised of my thoughts as I move toward making the portfolio changes.

Full disclosure: long XLI XLK






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One Response to Beginning of the Second Quarter Portfolio Reshaping

  1. Doug says:

    I think XL Capital (XL) is a good bet here. It is trading at ~60% of book value, and their exposure to the worst parts of the financial guarantee business of SCA is relatively low. Also, the company just hired Mike McGavick as CEO. He did a great job turning around Safeco.

Disclaimer


David Merkel is an investment professional, and like every investment professional, he makes mistakes. David encourages you to do your own independent "due diligence" on any idea that he talks about, because he could be wrong. Nothing written here, at RealMoney, Wall Street All-Stars, or anywhere else David may write is an invitation to buy or sell any particular security; at most, David is handing out educated guesses as to what the markets may do. David is fond of saying, "The markets always find a new way to make a fool out of you," and so he encourages caution in investing. Risk control wins the game in the long run, not bold moves. Even the best strategies of the past fail, sometimes spectacularly, when you least expect it. David is not immune to that, so please understand that any past success of his will be probably be followed by failures.


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