David Merkel

At my blog there are two main purposes: teaching investors about better investing through risk control, and tying all of the markets into a coherent whole.

Latest



Archives


Categories


  • Recent Comments:

    • Eric: David…add ANAT to the list. It is the sister company of NWLIA - both controlled by the Moody Family....
    • Brian Keller-Heikkila: I see the idea of a single reserve currency as being a way to attempt to oversimplify a...
    • Tejvan Pettinger: I’m surprised people are still talking of more fiscal stimulus, it is hard to do more than...
    • BobC: “But, maybe the world could live without a single reserve currency.” Hmmmm. Interesting thought....
    • Albert: It’s interesting you should mention the GICs business. Just a few days after your post, Bill Ackman...
  • Recent Trackbacks:

  •  Subscribe in a reader

     Subscribe in a reader (comments)

    Subscribe to RSS Feed

    Enter your Email


    Preview | Powered by FeedBlitz

    Seeking Alpha Certified

    InstantBull.com: Bull, Boards & Blogs

    Blog Directory - Blogged

    Advertising


    blog advertising is good for you

    Books I Have Reviewed

    Book Reviews

    Other Advertising

     

    Average? I Like Average, if It’s My Average. (Part II)

    Finishing off the average 10, the slightly better 5…

    Deltic Timber

    Deltic Timber was an idea that I gleaned from Jim Grant.  They have a lot of timberland in the Southern US, a decent amount of which is next to Little Rock, Arkansas.  The land near Little Rock, once developed, could be quite valuable in a bull market for residential real estate.  I ended up selling because I lost confidence in the residential housing market.

    Honda Motors

    I still own Honda.  Does the world need cars?  Does the world need small cars?  Yes!  Is Honda cheaply valued?  Yes.  Can they beat the cost levels of Ford, GM, and Chrysler?  Yes.  I like Toyota as well, and have owned it in the past.  I have owned American auto part manufacturers, but never the automakers themselves; their credit quality is too low.

    Mueller Industries

    This is a case where I found a cheap industrial, bought it, and waited.  The price rose, and I concluded that I had cheaper opportunities, so I sold.  Also, their raw materials prices were going to rise…

    American Power Conversion

    American Power Conversion was a cheap tech stock with products that are difficult to obsolete.  Eventually I had cheaper investments to buy, and I sold.  This is another example of how the rebalancing discipline can turn a flat stock into extra profits.

    Australia & New Zealand Banking

    This seemed to be a cheap, well-run foreign bank so I bought some.  As with many of my average investments, I sold it to fund other more promising investments.

    Summary of Part II

    • Rebalance your portfolio regularly to fixed weights.
    • Dividends matter.
    • Buy cheap.
    • Trade away for better opportunities when you find them.

    It is important in investing to have something to compare investments against.  Make them compete against each other for your dollars, and be rigorous about it.  Don’t invest because “That sounds like a good idea,” rather, is it better than what you currently have?  Keep improving the quality of your portfolio, in terms of cheapness, quality, and future prospects.

    Full disclosure: long HMC

    Leave a Reply