Avoid Investment Scams and Bad Advice

There is one fundamental rule on the idea generation process to get across to new retail investors:

Buy what you have researched.  Don’t buy what your friends are buying, or even worse, what someone is trying to sell you.

(For those with access to RealMoney.com, you could review my Using Investment Advice series.)

The point here is to become capable of doing the basic research necessary to make reasonable decisions.  You don’t have to make great decisions in order to succeed.  You do have to avoid making major errors, which requires a degree of skepticism toward the opinions of your non-expert friends, and modest hostility toward those selling investment products.

What led to this article was a eight-page glossy advertisement from a publication that I do not deign to name (I worry about lawsuits), about a company called GTX Corp [GTXO].  Now, maybe I need to refresh my free subscription to the direct mail preference service, which really cuts down on the amount of junk mail that I receive.

GTX Corp is an example of a company with a high valuation, and uncertain prospects.  There is no provision for adverse deviation.  It trades on the Bulletin Board, and here is its business:

GTX Corporation integrates global positioning system (GPS) technology into consumer electronics devices.  The technology allows for real-time oversight of loved ones.

Now, why don’t I like this company, aside from the advertisement that did not mention valuation, balance sheet strength, or any other risk factors?

  • It trades at a high ratio of book, and trailing earnings don’t exist.
  • It was created out of a merger with a failed mining company.
  • Its recent financing this month offered equity interests far cheaper than the current market price.
  • Their auditor is not a major auditing firm.
  • Give the auditor credit though, they did not give them a “going concern” opinion, but instead expressed doubts.
  • The stock is on the Nasdaq’s Threshold Securities list, so finding shares to short is problematic.
  • Major shareholders are doing a secondary offering.
  • The advertiser was paid $186,000 to do the ad by a third party.

I have no idea how good their GPS technology might be, but there are too many risk factors here to make me even consider a long position.

I am not here to beat on GTX Corp.  I am using them, and the guy who advertised them as an example.

  • The advertisement had all manner of positive things to say about the technology and what it could do.  That’s fine, but what has it done?  Why doesn’t this corporation have significant revenues?
  • Why does the ad use the scam language “as featured on” and “as seen in,” naming prominent publications and channels, when all he likely did was buy some slack advertisements at a late hour, or in regional editions?
  • The ad compares the company to Garmin and other successful companies.
  • The ad uses a bunch of emotive problems that the technology could solve.
  • The ad puts forth a target price of $12 without any justification.

Buyer beware, and don’t listen to strangers giving you advice.  Cultivate networks of knowledgeable friends who are trustworthy, and avoid getting taken for a ride by slick-talking (writing) hucksters who pitch clever ideas to you.  Do your work, and buy cheap, boring ideas like I do.






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2 Responses to Avoid Investment Scams and Bad Advice

  1. Mel Marten says:

    True, for avoiding scams it really comes down to avoiding a specific “product” rather than advice. A specific stock pick, annuity, or any other product can get you in trouble if it doesn’t fit your goals. Advisors have much more incentive to give you good planning advice when they are paid for that versus for a specific product. Just look at professional investors versus most retail in this article:

    http://www.claroconnect.com/Financial_Library/odd_money_facts.htm

    mm

  2. Mel, you get one post like that. After this, you have to pay me for an ad, or I delete the comment.

Disclaimer


David Merkel is an investment professional, and like every investment professional, he makes mistakes. David encourages you to do your own independent "due diligence" on any idea that he talks about, because he could be wrong. Nothing written here, at RealMoney, Wall Street All-Stars, or anywhere else David may write is an invitation to buy or sell any particular security; at most, David is handing out educated guesses as to what the markets may do. David is fond of saying, "The markets always find a new way to make a fool out of you," and so he encourages caution in investing. Risk control wins the game in the long run, not bold moves. Even the best strategies of the past fail, sometimes spectacularly, when you least expect it. David is not immune to that, so please understand that any past success of his will be probably be followed by failures.


Also, though David runs Aleph Investments, LLC, this blog is not a part of that business. This blog exists to educate investors, and give something back. It is not intended as advertisement for Aleph Investments; David is not soliciting business through it. When David, or a client of David's has an interest in a security mentioned, full disclosure will be given, as has been past practice for all that David does on the web. Disclosure is the breakfast of champions.


Additionally, David may occasionally write about accounting, actuarial, insurance, and tax topics, but nothing written here, at RealMoney, or anywhere else is meant to be formal "advice" in those areas. Consult a reputable professional in those areas to get personal, tailored advice that meets the specialized needs that David can have no knowledge of.

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