The Odd Man Out

At present I own a position in the Japan Smaller Capitalization Fund.  One of the things that I talk less about in my investing, is my willingness to allow some professionals closer to the situation manage a small amount of the assets, if they have a good track record, and the area of the global markets is deeply out of favor.  When I do this, it is typically for just one investment, and not more than 5% of the total portfolio.

Japanese small caps?  Definitely out of favor.  When I look at the top ten holdings of the Japan Smaller Capitalization Fund, I can justify holding them on a book value basis, and on an earnings basis, relative to the low interest rates in Japan, they make sense as well.

Now, the fund is trading at a premium to its NAV, so I don’t recommend purchases, at present.  perhaps the ETF SPDR Russell/Nomura Small Cap Japan would be better [JSC].  At a premium of 8% on JOF, I would swap for JSC.  That level would discount the good investing of JOF versus the index of JSC.  Either way, I like Japanese small caps, and I am happy to hold them for a while.

Full disclosure: long JOF






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4 Responses to The Odd Man Out

  1. Itamar Shtull-Trauring says:

    WisdomTree’s DFJ is actually claiming to have a P/B of 0.95 as of 3/31. How do you feel about dividend-weighted ETFs like DFJ, or (with a different, perhaps better methodology) DWX?

  2. Kathy says:

    Oh man, I wish I cared about this stuff so that I could sound somewhat smart when I leave a comment, but I don’t. And I’m not very smart soeven if I DID care my comment would still sound silly.

    My husband, however, IS smart and reads your blog often. You can imagine my excitement when you left a comment on MY blog. I called my husband immediately to rub it in. :)

    Thanks for the comment! You made my day.

  3. Andrew says:

    I have a very gerneral question for David. My apologies if this has already been adressed. My queston is whether and under what circumstances you put a significant amount of your portfolio in cash or cash equivalents? If not, I assume it is because you agree with conventional wisdom that it doesn’t pay to time the market and that in general stock markets appreciate over time. I have always had trouble with this concept, and would appreciate directions to any posts examining this contention. Thanks in advance.

  4. Andrew says:

    I am not sure if the latest post was in response to my question, but what I am asking goes beyond levering up to increase your equity exposure. What I want to know is if the stock market ever gets so expensive that you say it doesn’t make sense to be invested in equities at these levels.

Disclaimer


David Merkel is an investment professional, and like every investment professional, he makes mistakes. David encourages you to do your own independent "due diligence" on any idea that he talks about, because he could be wrong. Nothing written here, at RealMoney, Wall Street All-Stars, or anywhere else David may write is an invitation to buy or sell any particular security; at most, David is handing out educated guesses as to what the markets may do. David is fond of saying, "The markets always find a new way to make a fool out of you," and so he encourages caution in investing. Risk control wins the game in the long run, not bold moves. Even the best strategies of the past fail, sometimes spectacularly, when you least expect it. David is not immune to that, so please understand that any past success of his will be probably be followed by failures.


Also, though David runs Aleph Investments, LLC, this blog is not a part of that business. This blog exists to educate investors, and give something back. It is not intended as advertisement for Aleph Investments; David is not soliciting business through it. When David, or a client of David's has an interest in a security mentioned, full disclosure will be given, as has been past practice for all that David does on the web. Disclosure is the breakfast of champions.


Additionally, David may occasionally write about accounting, actuarial, insurance, and tax topics, but nothing written here, at RealMoney, or anywhere else is meant to be formal "advice" in those areas. Consult a reputable professional in those areas to get personal, tailored advice that meets the specialized needs that David can have no knowledge of.

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