Comments on: Residential Real Estate Will Not Have A “V” Bottom http://alephblog.com/2008/08/12/residential-real-estate-will-not-have-a-v-bottom/ Helping Institutions and Ordinary People Invest Better by Focusing on Risk Control Mon, 13 Feb 2012 14:34:49 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 By: David Merkelhttp://alephblog.com/2008/08/12/residential-real-estate-will-not-have-a-v-bottom/comment-page-1/#comment-22359 David Merkel Wed, 15 Jul 2009 00:23:17 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=804#comment-22359 Where? In Panama? Or the US? Where? In Panama? Or the US?

]]> By: Panama Real Estatehttp://alephblog.com/2008/08/12/residential-real-estate-will-not-have-a-v-bottom/comment-page-1/#comment-22357 Panama Real Estate Tue, 14 Jul 2009 22:53:10 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=804#comment-22357 I would call it a "U" but I have the value of 11 months since these posts. We expect that the influx of engineers and administrative personnel for the "third lane" locks will give the high end of the market a boost. I would call it a “U” but I have the value of 11 months since these posts. We expect that the influx of engineers and administrative personnel for the “third lane” locks will give the high end of the market a boost.

]]> By: Bob Kopczeskihttp://alephblog.com/2008/08/12/residential-real-estate-will-not-have-a-v-bottom/comment-page-1/#comment-18292 Bob Kopczeski Thu, 14 Aug 2008 22:37:32 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=804#comment-18292 As a current renter, I think housing prices need to decline a lot more before it would be worthwhile to buy. Property taxes, HOA fees, Insurance, Maintenance, and a big Mortgage: the American dream has turned into a nightmare for many. With prices declining and lots of inventory to be worked off, I agree a V shaped bottom is not to be. The bottoming process could indeed take years as it did in the 1990's. As a current renter, I think housing prices need to decline a lot more before it would be worthwhile to buy. Property taxes, HOA fees, Insurance, Maintenance, and a big Mortgage: the American dream has turned into a nightmare for many. With prices declining and lots of inventory to be worked off, I agree a V shaped bottom is not to be. The bottoming process could indeed take years as it did in the 1990′s.

]]> By: matthttp://alephblog.com/2008/08/12/residential-real-estate-will-not-have-a-v-bottom/comment-page-1/#comment-18282 matt Wed, 13 Aug 2008 21:22:37 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=804#comment-18282 Jeff ("Don’t you think that there are plenty of potential and qualified buyers who have been unable to get mortgages?"): No one with a good income who can put 20% down is getting denied anywhere. The problem is that most people don't have that 20% to put down (unqualified). We'll have to wait for a confluence of dropping prices and increasing savings to create restorative conditions in the mortgage market. Even then, it's unlikely that people will be levering their entire retirements on second vacation homes (because they always go up) again. Jeff (“Don’t you think that there are plenty of potential and qualified buyers who have been unable to get mortgages?”):

No one with a good income who can put 20% down is getting denied anywhere. The problem is that most people don’t have that 20% to put down (unqualified). We’ll have to wait for a confluence of dropping prices and increasing savings to create restorative conditions in the mortgage market.

Even then, it’s unlikely that people will be levering their entire retirements on second vacation homes (because they always go up) again.

]]> By: Jeffhttp://alephblog.com/2008/08/12/residential-real-estate-will-not-have-a-v-bottom/comment-page-1/#comment-18256 Jeff Tue, 12 Aug 2008 14:10:59 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=804#comment-18256 OK, let's agree that the current real estate listings do not show the entire supply curve. I've pointed that out a few times. I usually do this in conjunction with a comment about our lack of knowledge concerning the demand curve. Don't you think that there are plenty of potential and qualified buyers who have been unable to get mortgages? Much depends on when and how mortgage lending is restored -- what our public policy is and how securitization is resumed. OK, let’s agree that the current real estate listings do not show the entire supply curve. I’ve pointed that out a few times.

I usually do this in conjunction with a comment about our lack of knowledge concerning the demand curve. Don’t you think that there are plenty of potential and qualified buyers who have been unable to get mortgages?

Much depends on when and how mortgage lending is restored — what our public policy is and how securitization is resumed.

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