Redacted Version of the FOMC Statement

The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 2 percent.

Strains in financial markets have increased significantly and labor markets have weakened further. Economic growth appears to have slowed recently,activity expanded in the second quarter, partly reflecting a softening of householdgrowth in consumer spending. and exports. However, labor markets have softened further and financial markets remain under considerable stress. Tight credit conditions, the ongoing housing contraction, and some slowing in export growthelevated energy prices are likely to weigh on economic growth over the next few quarters. Over time, the substantial easing of monetary policy, combined with ongoing measures to foster market liquidity, should help to promote moderate economic growth.

Inflation has been high, spurred by the earlier increases in the prices of energy and some other commodities.commodities, and some indicators of inflation expectations have been elevated. The Committee expects inflation to moderate later this year and next year, but the inflation outlook remains highly uncertain.

TheAlthough downside risks to growth andremain, the upside risks to inflation are bothalso of significant concern to the Committee. The Committee will continue to monitor economic and financial developments carefully and will act as needed to promote sustainable economic growth and price stability.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Christine M. Cumming;Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Richard W. Fisher; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Frederic S. Mishkin; Sandra Pianalto; Charles I. Plosser,Plosser; Gary H. Stern; and Kevin M. Warsh. Ms. Cumming voted asVoting against was Richard W. Fisher, who preferred an increase in the alternatetarget for Timothy F. Geithner.the federal funds rate at this meeting.

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Of Note:

  • No move, they are happy with the current policy.
  • Even Richard Fisher is happy with the current policy.
  • They will monitor economic and financial developments “carefully” now.
  • They see greater weakness in economic growth, labor markets, export growth, and the financial markets.
  • They are puzzled about inflation; they think/hope it will decrease soon.  (Watch for a surprise in the third quarter GDP deflator that undoes the surprise in the second quarter.)

The markets seem to be taking it in stride.  I’m glad they didn’t cut; perhaps they’ve learned something from the emergency cuts that they sterilized by not letting the monetary base grow much.  Sterilized interventions don’t do much.