Candidates for the Portfolio Reshaping

Here’s my list of tickers that I have gathered over the last 3.5 months, that could lead me to replace companies in my existing portfolio:

AAP    AAPL    AB    ABC    AC    ADBE    ADI    ADM    ADP    ADSK    AEO    AEP    ALV    AMN    AMT    AMX    ANAD    ANF    ANN    APA    APD    APH    ARO    ASF    ASGN    ASR    ATI    ATMI    AUY    AVX    AVY    AXP    AYE    AZO    BA    BAX    BBSI    BBY    BDX    BELFB    BEN    BGG    BHE    BHI    BHP    BLL    BMS    BRCM    BRKA    BRKS    BRO    BSX    BVF    BWA    BWP    CA    CAH    CALM    CAT    CBE    CBG    CCK    CCL    CDI    CDNS    CLX    CME    CMI    CNH    CNS    COG    COGO    COGT    COH    COHU    COST    CPB    CPWR    CR    CRK    CRMH    CROX    CRS    CRYP    CSX    CTAS    CTSH    CUTR    CVX    CW    CY    CYNO    DE    DEO    DFG    DLM    DNB    DOV    DRYS    DUG    DUK    E    ECA    ED    ELRC    EMR    EOG    EPB    EPD    EPE    ESIO    ESRX    ETE    ETN    ETP    ETR    EXAR    EXC    EXPE    FAST    FBN    FDO    FDX    FLEX    FOE    FORM    FRPT    FRX    FSLR    FTE    FTO    GD    GFF    GG    GIS    GNCI    GNTX    GOOG    GPS    GSIG    GWW    HES    HI    HLX    HNZ    HON    HPQ    HTCH    HY    IAG    IBM    ICE    IM    INTC    IPAS    IPG    IR    ISIL    ITG    ITW    JCG    JCI    JNA    JNJ    K    KALU    KBR    KCI    KEI    KFT    KLAC    KMB    KMP    KO    KR    LH    LIMS    LINE    LOJN    LUFK    LUV    MAN    MCK    MDT    MEI    MGG    MHK    MHP    MHS    MICC    MLM    MMM    MMP    MOLX    MON    MRO    MSFT    MTE    MTSN    MTW    MUR    MW    MXIM    NBL    NDAQ    NE    NESN VX    NKE    NOK    NOVL    NPK    NTRI    NTY    NUAN    NVDA    NVTL    NYX    ODC    OI    OKE    OKS    OPVW    OPXT    ORCL    OXY    PAA    PAYX    PBI    PBR    PCCC    PCLN    PCP    PENX    PKE    PL    PLCM    PLXS    PMTI    POT    POWI    PPG    PSE    PSEM    PSPT    PTEC    PTEN    PXD    QCOM    RACK    RFMD    RIMG    RNWK    RTEC    SATS    SBAC    SBUX    SCX    SD    SEE    SFN    SHW    SIAL    SIGM    SKX    SLGN    SMBL    SNPS    SO    SPLS    SPTN    SRCL    STJ    STMC    STMP    STO    STR    SUN    SWK    SY    T    TAP    TDK    TECD    TEF    TEG    TEX    TGM    TJX    TMO    TNB    TNH    TOMO    TOT    TRAK    TRID    TSCM    TSN    TSO    TSRA    TTC    TUNE    TWB    TWLL    TXN    UMW    UN    UNP    UPS    URS    USU    UTX    VAR    VE    VFC    VLGEA    VOXX    WAG    WAT    WBSN    WDC    WFR    WMB    WMT    WU    XRTX    XTO    YHOO    ZMH    ZNT    ZRAN

Long list.  I’m beginning to think that I get more ideas when things are bad.  But this list will have to be evaluated for :

  • Survivability
  • Valuation, and
  • Likely industry performance.

We’ll see how that shakes out.  Now to dig into these candidates.

6 Responses to Candidates for the Portfolio Reshaping

  1. Kieran says:

    Whatever you do, don’t buy and hold DUG. These double inverses dramatically underperform because of the compounding effects.

  2. David Merkel says:

    Kieran, that one is a mistake. Hand transcribing 330 tickers has great potential for error.

  3. Eric says:

    Regarding your existing portfolio, you’ve sometimes held FXF and other Proshares Currency funds. Based on the following excerpt, does it seem to you that these funds are too dependent upon the solvency of JP Morgan? “The Trust has no proprietary rights in or to any specific Swiss Francs held by the Depository and will be an unsecured creditor of the Depository with respect to the Swiss Francs held in the Deposit Accounts in the event of the insolvency of the Depository or the U.S. bank of which it is a branch. In the event the Depository or the U.S. bank of which it is a branch becomes insolvent, the Depository’s assets might not be adequate to satisfy a claim by the Trust or any Authorized Participant for the amount of Swiss Francs deposited by the Trust or the Authorized Participant, in such event, the Trust and any Authorized Participant will generally have no right in or to assets other than those of the Depository. In the case of insolvency of the Depository or JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., the U.S. bank of which the Depository is a branch, a liquidator may seek to freeze access to the Swiss Francs held in all accounts by the Depository, including the Deposit Accounts. The Trust and the Authorized Participants could incur expenses and delays in connection with asserting their claims. These problems would be exacerbated by the reality that the Deposit Accounts will not be held in the U.S. but instead will be held at the London branch of a U.S. national bank, where it will be subject to English insolvency law. Further, under U.S. law, in the case of the insolvency of JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., the claims of creditors in respect of accounts (such as the Trust’s Deposit Accounts) that are maintained with an overseas branch of JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. will be subordinate to claims of creditors in respect of accounts maintained with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. in the U.S., greatly increasing the risk that the Trust and the Trust’s beneficiaries would suffer a loss.”

  4. David Merkel says:

    Eric, that’s an interesting truffle that you have dug up. I’m not using any of the Proshares currency funds now, but I have in the past. Unlike ETNs, ETFs are not pricing in counterparty risk — this raises the interesting issue of whether they should trade at a discount.

    It also points to some sloppiness on my part… I assumed that they invested in high-quality short-term foreign currency instruments that they took custody of (if only electronically), and that seems not to be the case.

    Do you have a URL on this pointing to the prospectus as a whole?

  5. Eric says:

    I copied that particular passage from page five of the most recent 10-K filing. I used to own them myself until I read that. If something happens to JP Morgan (and it just might), the status of these popular currency ETFs as unsecured creditors would be front page news.

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