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> <channel><title>Comments on: A Different Look at Industry Momentum</title> <atom:link href="http://alephblog.com/2009/01/21/a-different-look-at-industry-momentum/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" /><link>http://alephblog.com/2009/01/21/a-different-look-at-industry-momentum/</link> <description>Helping Institutions and Ordinary People Invest Better by Focusing on Risk Control</description> <lastBuildDate>Sun, 12 Feb 2012 22:02:53 +0000</lastBuildDate> <sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod> <sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency> <generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1</generator> <item><title>By: James Hodgins</title><link>http://alephblog.com/2009/01/21/a-different-look-at-industry-momentum/comment-page-1/#comment-20765</link> <dc:creator>James Hodgins</dc:creator> <pubDate>Thu, 22 Jan 2009 13:35:02 +0000</pubDate> <guid
isPermaLink="false">http://alephblog.com/?p=1353#comment-20765</guid> <description>Hi David, I have enjoyed the benefit of your writing and analysis for many years.  Our fund is based upon Soros&#039; theory of reflexivity, which I believe is the main cause (along with some behavioral inefficiencies) of the persistency of the momentum effect.
A change (could be macro, sector, or company-specific) occurs at a company that triggers a feed-back loop between the stock price and the company fundamentals.  Another way of looking at it is through the idea of &quot;real options&quot;.  Certainly a company whose stock has gone up has a lot more &quot;real options&quot; than one that has declined.  Now the management may ultimately use those options to destroy value, thus triggering a negative reflexivity cycle but in the interim, the equity value of a company with more &quot;real options&quot; should be worth more than a company with less.
Cheers.
James</description> <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi David, I have enjoyed the benefit of your writing and analysis for many years.  Our fund is based upon Soros&#8217; theory of reflexivity, which I believe is the main cause (along with some behavioral inefficiencies) of the persistency of the momentum effect.</p><p>A change (could be macro, sector, or company-specific) occurs at a company that triggers a feed-back loop between the stock price and the company fundamentals.  Another way of looking at it is through the idea of &#8220;real options&#8221;.  Certainly a company whose stock has gone up has a lot more &#8220;real options&#8221; than one that has declined.  Now the management may ultimately use those options to destroy value, thus triggering a negative reflexivity cycle but in the interim, the equity value of a company with more &#8220;real options&#8221; should be worth more than a company with less.</p><p>Cheers.</p><p>James</p> ]]></content:encoded> </item> <item><title>By: matt</title><link>http://alephblog.com/2009/01/21/a-different-look-at-industry-momentum/comment-page-1/#comment-20758</link> <dc:creator>matt</dc:creator> <pubDate>Thu, 22 Jan 2009 01:54:37 +0000</pubDate> <guid
isPermaLink="false">http://alephblog.com/?p=1353#comment-20758</guid> <description>Mr. Merkel:
There is a book by O&#039;Shaughnessy (or something like that) called &quot;What works on Wall Street.&quot; In it, he creates a hybrid strategy based on several value ratios and relative strength over differ lengths of time. It had fantastic risk adjusted returns (and overall returns).</description> <content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mr. Merkel:</p><p>There is a book by O&#8217;Shaughnessy (or something like that) called &#8220;What works on Wall Street.&#8221; In it, he creates a hybrid strategy based on several value ratios and relative strength over differ lengths of time. It had fantastic risk adjusted returns (and overall returns).</p> ]]></content:encoded> </item> </channel> </rss>
