Archive for January 29th, 2009

Revisiting TARP FOIA Requests

Thursday, January 29th, 2009

I’m tracking three FOIA lawsuits involving the TARP (using Bloomberg Law, and Googlebots):

    1. Bloomberg L.P. v. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    2. Fox News Network, LLC v. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
    3. Fox News Network, LLC v. United States Department of the Treasury

      In the first case, there is a motion for summary judgment — this might come to an amicable end, itf the parties can compromise on terms of disclosure.

      The second case has the Fed writing out Vaughn Indexes — explaining what they can’t tell the plaintiff.

      The third case has the Treasury Department saying that they are in the process of complying with the original request, but that they are backed up now, and there are many sub-departments to co-ordinate.  Just wait your turn, and there will be many blacked-out documents for Fox News Network to review.

      I write this partly because I wonder whether the Obama Administration will create an open culture with respect to disclosure of data from the Federal Reserve and the Treasury.  My guess is no, because once someone is in power, they tend to reflect the interests of those who were in power.  But, I can hope, and remember, hope is audacious!

      I will continue to track these cases, and will report as biggish things happen.

      Rethinking Insurable Interest, Redux

      Thursday, January 29th, 2009

      I didn’t think I’d see a proposal like this one which would (seemingly) bar investors from purchasing default protection via the credit default swaps [CDS] on corporations without owning the underlying bonds.  But here it is.  (It would also force the creation of a clearinghouse for CDS, something I have been more dubious about — it will work for large liquid exposures, but not others.)  This is more restrictive than I would recommend; consider my earlier piece, Rethinking Insurable Interest.

      My basic idea is that people, even artificial people like corporations have a right to restrict who takes life insurance out on them, aside from those that already have a financial interest in the well being of the company.  Also, gambling should be opposed on public policy grounds.  Most of the CDS market is just a series of side bets, with little or no true hedging going on.

      Now, what I am suggesting is controversial, though less so than the proposed bill.  There is a very good blog called Derivative Dribble, that took issue with what I wrote in my piece.  The author, Charles Davi, asked me to comment on it, and I ran short of time, and never did.  This proposed bill gives me a chance to comment on his piece, and for you to read his logic.  It is a clear statement of what those that have an economic interest in the size of the CDS business will say.

      My argument with Derivative Dribble is this: he brushes past my moral arguments and focuses on the right of two parties to be able to contract freely.  (Also, his argument about incentivizing illness is just weird, and does not apply to the discussion at hand.)  Merely because a life insurance company has an economic interest in not selling insurance to someone who might harm the insured, does not mean that the insurable interest argument relies on the self-interest of the insurer.  It is a statement of public policy that we don’t allow parties with no insurable interest to make bets on the lives of others.  It arose out of many incidents where insured parties got murdered.  Innocent people have a right to not be concerned that someone has an incentive to kill them.

      In the same way, corporations have a right to not have to worry about being harmed by those that might have an economic interest in their demise.  This is not just for the good of the management, many laborers, suppliers, pensioners, and other stakeholders lose when a firm goes bust.  There are situations where parties controlling the financing of a firm in trouble have acquired CDS protection greater than that of their likely economic loss.  Given that the ability of the firm to refinance in such a situation is limited, this virtually guarantees the demise of the firm.

      The right to free contract is limited in our culture, and in most cultures.  Even an economic libertarian like me knows that.  This is one of the areas where the right to contract should be limited, so that corporations do not have to be looking over their back to see if someone has an interest in their demise.

      Disclaimer


      David Merkel is an investment professional, and like every investment professional, he makes mistakes. David encourages you to do your own independent "due diligence" on any idea that he talks about, because he could be wrong. Nothing written here, at RealMoney, Wall Street All-Stars, or anywhere else David may write is an invitation to buy or sell any particular security; at most, David is handing out educated guesses as to what the markets may do. David is fond of saying, "The markets always find a new way to make a fool out of you," and so he encourages caution in investing. Risk control wins the game in the long run, not bold moves. Even the best strategies of the past fail, sometimes spectacularly, when you least expect it. David is not immune to that, so please understand that any past success of his will be probably be followed by failures.


      Also, though David runs Aleph Investments, LLC, this blog is not a part of that business. This blog exists to educate investors, and give something back. It is not intended as advertisement for Aleph Investments; David is not soliciting business through it. When David, or a client of David's has an interest in a security mentioned, full disclosure will be given, as has been past practice for all that David does on the web. Disclosure is the breakfast of champions.


      Additionally, David may occasionally write about accounting, actuarial, insurance, and tax topics, but nothing written here, at RealMoney, or anywhere else is meant to be formal "advice" in those areas. Consult a reputable professional in those areas to get personal, tailored advice that meets the specialized needs that David can have no knowledge of.

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