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This blog is produced by David Merkel CFA, a registered representative of Finacorp Securities as an outside business activity. As such, Finacorp Securities does not review or approve materials presented herein. By viewing or participating in discussion on this blog, you understand that the opinions expressed within do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of Finacorp Securities, but are the opinions of the author and individual participants. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Before investing, consider your investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Finacorp Securities is a member FINRA and SIPC.

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At my blog there are two main purposes: teaching investors about better investing through risk control, and tying all of the markets into a coherent whole.

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    To What Degree Were AIG’s Operating Insurance Subsidiaries Sound? (3)

    Capital Stacking, Cross-guarantees, and Surplus Notes

    After the difficulties with securities lending, the next issue reminded me a lot of the first company I worked for: Southmark.  A two-time loser in chapter 11, in their second trip of insolvency, they interlaced the capital of their subsidiaries, forcing them to do business on a thin capital base.  Subsidiary A would own stock of subsidiary B, and B would own stock of A.   They would both look more solvent, but would not be any more solvent.  Neither “asset” could be tapped for liquidity purposes.  In AIG’s case, most of the capital stacking was not so crude.  Most of it was operating subsidiaries owning shares in other subsidiaries, without another transaction going the other way.

    Capital stacking increases leverage in a hidden way.  Say Subsidiary A owns Subsidiary B.  The surplus of B not only supports B’s business, but also A’s business.  A downturn in the business of B affects not only the affairs of B, but also A, particularly so if the surplus of B is a large fraction of A’s surplus.

    With AIG, many of the operating insurance subsidiaries [OISs] held stakes (usually common stock) in other OISs.  Here’s a table of those subsidiaries with the exposure to the issue:

    Subsidiary 2008YE Surplus Affiliated Assets / Surplus
    Am Gen Property IC

    18

    628%

    AGC LIC

    5,887

    171%

    UG Residential IC of NC

    200

    138%

    SunAmerica LIC

    4,653

    107%

    National Union Fire IC

    11,825

    90%

    American Life IC “Alico”

    3,900

    79%

    Audubon IC

    39

    77%

    American General LIC

    5,185

    74%

    New Hampshire IC

    1,652

    72%

    AIG Centennial IC

    305

    63%

    Hartford Steam Boiler IAIC

    443

    47%

    AIG Casualty Co

    1,457

    35%

    AIU IC

    726

    34%

    AIG Hawaii IC

    64

    27%

    AIG Excess Liability Co.

    1,438

    24%

    American Home Assurance Co

    5,702

    23%

    AIG Annuity IC

    3,045

    22%

    American General L&A IC

    488

    22%

    Commerce and Industry IC

    2,678

    20%

    The Variable Annuity LIC

    2,841

    20%

    Am Int IC

    374

    19%

    Am Int LIC of NY

    371

    19%

    AIG Premier IC

    144

    18%

    United Guaranty Residential IC

    1,106

    16%

    New Hampshire Indemnity Co

    140

    13%

    Hartford Steam Boiler IAIC of CT

    46

    11%

    Lexington IC

    4,263

    11%

    Pacific Union Assurance Co

    20

    10%

    AIG LIC

    360

    9%

    AIG SunAmerica LAC

    1,271

    8%

    Some of AIG’s larger OISs have significant exposures to other subsidiaries.  One minor subsidiary, Pacific Union, invested directly in AIG’s common stock.  That subsidiary doesn’t have much business in it, and is in little danger of insolvency, but is the most egregious example of creating capital out of thin air.  (I feel the same way when companies contribute common stock to Defined Benefit plans.)

    Other OISs of note: 1) AGC LIC seems to be an intermediate level holding company, with little business of its own.  2) National Union is the biggest P&C company.  3) Alico is the intermediate holding company for most of the International Life business.  4) SunAmerica and American General are holding companies for the companies when they were acquired by AIG.  They have significant business in themselves as well.

    There are guarantees as well.  Some of the larger subsidiaries, like National Union, together with AIG, guarantee a number of other domestic and international OISs.

    Finally, there are surplus notes, concentrated in the mortgage guarantee subsidiaries.  This is another way of creating capital out of this air.  Surplus notes are considered as surplus, not debt, to the issuer, because any payment of principal or interest must be approved by the state Insurance Commissioner.  Subsidiary A offers surplus notes to Subsidiary B, which sends cash back to subsidiary A.  Subsidiary B gets to admit the surplus note as an asset.  New surplus created, with no transfer of risk to an external party.  Three of the four mortgage guarantee subsidiaries issued surplus notes to other AIG mortgage insurance-related subsidiaries totaling a little less than $900 million.

    Now, given all of the complexity and leverage from all of these arrangements, it is all the more stunning that the normally intelligent New York Insurance Department allowed for the OISs of AIG to contemplate lending $20 billion to AIG.  At the time, I thought the idea was dubious.  This article from Enforce (pages 17-20) gives the definitive treatment of the issue, though I disagree with one of their main conclusions.  I don’t think the Federal Government would do a better job regulating insurance than the states currently do.  They have certainly not distinguished themselves in their regulation of depositary institutions.

    2 Responses to “ To What Degree Were AIG’s Operating Insurance Subsidiaries Sound? (3) ”

    1. Jamie Says:

      Could you explain capital stacking in a little more detail, please? I’m unfamiliar with this strategy. Isn’t this essentially cross-shareholdings? The real danger here is having other company’s equity as part of your capital base is it not? A bit like Japanese banks who have seen their capital base eroded because of write-downs on their shareholdings?

      Also unsure why this increases leverage, per se? Surely this doesn’t boost leverage but rather provides a flimsy capital structure for the firm?

    2. David Merkel Says:

      It works like this: say subsidiary A owns all of subsidiary B. For regulatory purposes, but not GAAP purposes, B’s capital does double duty. It supports the business of B and A. The value of B goes on A’s books at its net worth. Say B and A both have asset problems. A’s capital shrinks not only from its own losses, but from those of B as well. That’s what happened at AIG. As losses rose in the lower subsidiaries, the subsidiaries higher up were affected by those losses as well as their own.

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