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This blog is produced by David Merkel CFA, a registered representative of Finacorp Securities as an outside business activity. As such, Finacorp Securities does not review or approve materials presented herein. By viewing or participating in discussion on this blog, you understand that the opinions expressed within do not reflect the opinions or recommendations of Finacorp Securities, but are the opinions of the author and individual participants. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument. Before investing, consider your investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Any purchase or sale activity in any securities instrument should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Finacorp Securities is a member FINRA and SIPC.

David Merkel

At my blog there are two main purposes: teaching investors about better investing through risk control, and tying all of the markets into a coherent whole.

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    What to ask AIG

    The Committee on Oversight and Government Reform has asked Ed Liddy and the AIG trustees  to testify Wednesday.  Here are the questions that I would ask, given my recent piece on AIG.

    • Are you going to be able to use all of your deferred tax assets? What level of sustained profitability does that imply, and how are you going to get there?
    • Are you going to destack your Life and P&C subsidiaries to avoid double counting of subsidiary capital on a statutory basis?
    • If relatively clean and simple subsidiaries like Hartford Steam Boiler and 21st Century got sold for bargain prices near where AIG bought them, and below book value, what hope does that offer for the value of the rest of AIG?
    • You’ve lost a lot of money recently. What do you project to be your level of annual sustainable profitability to be over the next three years?
    • There are rumors that AIG is slashing pricing to stay alive in the short run on a cash flow basis. Many competitors are alleging this. Is this true?
    • What have happened to your efforts to sell AIA and your asset management arm?
    • What has happened to your efforts to sell International Lease Finance?
    • How is United Guaranty going to survive amid mounting residential mortgage losses?
    • As you wind down AIG Financial Products are you finding “deadweight losses” where the subsidiary was fundamentally mishedged?
    • How are you dealing with defections of key personnel, and bad employee morale?
    • How are you dealing with increased surrender activity in your domestic life subsidiaries? Will you need more capital as a result?
    • Are you going to try to sell Alico?
    • Are you going to try to sell AIU?
    • What are the core businesses that you are going to keep, and why are they worth keeping?
    • How will AIG repay the US Government in full?
    • How have you reduced risk in your asset portfolio?

    That’s all, and I hope Mr. Liddy, who I have met and I think he is a bright guy, will do well.   He is a bit of a bagholder in the AIG mess.

    2 Responses to “ What to ask AIG ”

    1. Nick Says:

      Great questions. I’d add one:
      How do you know that employees unwinding portfolios aren’t deliberately mispricing in favor of counterparties? There is a real risk of moral hazard where a portfolio is being unwound & the counterparty is a potential future employer of those involved.

    2. David Merkel Says:

      Good question, Nick. The same question can be applied to those who work with reinsurance, if opportunities with AIG are flagging. It is easy to win friends by being nice about treaty terms.

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