Book Review: Quantitative Strategies for Achieving Alpha

In order to do this book review, I have to compare the book to five others that I have reviewed.

  1. Trend Following, (2), (3), (4), (5)
  2. Beat the Market: Invest by Knowing What Stocks to Buy and What Stocks to Sell
  3. The Fundamental Index
  4. The Alchemy of Finance, and Soros on Soros
  5. What Works on Wall Street

I chose these five, because they deal with factors that affect stock performance.  With 1 and 4, you can learn a great deal about price momentum.  With 4, you learn how price momentum and mean reversion interact, and even get taste of why even fundamentalists should grab onto this.

Today’s book, Quantitative Strategies for Achieving Alpha, takes a mix of factors, including price momentum, and attempts to show how investors can achieve above average returns.  That is similar to what was posited in books 2 and 3 in rudimentary ways, and in book 5 in more sophisticated ways.  The book that is most similar to this book is What Works on Wall Street.  More on that later.

The author has seven “basics” that must be applied to all investments:

  1. Profitability
  2. Valuation
  3. Cash Flow
  4. Growth
  5. Capital Allocation
  6. Price Momentum
  7. Red Flags

These are the building blocks of good investment strategies, and the best strategies use 2 or more of the “basics.”  This is consistent with the book What Works on Wall Street.  The most important “basics” are Profitability, Valuation, Cash Flow, and Price Momentum.  Good strategies will look at most of them.

Quibbles

  • The data period for the analyses was short — a mere 20 years 1987-2006.  As time has gone on, data collection has gotten richer, but the 20 year period chosen was one of a big bull market, and not necessarily representative of the next 20 years.
  • Data mining — when testing a wide number of similar hypotheses, data snooping is a problem.  If theory A works well, why not test theories A’, A+, A-, A*, etc?  That happens in this book, but it does not make the error of What Works on Wall Street, because it does not make claims that the best strategies from the sample period will be the best strategies for the future.
  • Also on data mining, in the price momentum section, analyses are done to see which momentum strategies did best over the sample period, and then those strategies are applied.  Someone starting out in 1987 would not have had the benefit of that knowledge.
  • Strategies that favor increasing debt worked well, but that is a relic of the Greenspan era, where overages of debt were never punished.
  • Cash flow was an important variable, and there were variables for capital allocation, but there was not much discussion of earnings quality by itself, which has significant predictive powers.

The book is data and statistics heavy, but not equation heavy.  If your eyes glaze over from numbers and statistics, this is not for you.

Wrong way to use the book

Look for the strategies that gave the highest excess returns, Sharpe ratios, etc.  Follow those strategies religiously.  If you do this, you will mimic the excesses of the period 1987-2006.  Those won’t recur in the same way 2009-2028.

Right way to use the book

Use the book to guide your strategies.  Look at how you currently analyze stocks, and see if you aren’t missing significant factors that could improve your performance.  Look to balance your strategies such that all of the main factors get some representation.

Also, the summaries of each chapter are simple, and give the main thrust for those who get tired.  Tortoriello does a good job boiling it down for those needing a summary.  He also does not overpromise; the book is free from overselling, in my opinion.

If you want to buy it you can buy it here: Quantitative Strategies for Achieving Alpha (McGraw-Hill Finance & Investing)

Remember, I read the books that I review.  Not all do.  Those entering Amazon through my site, and buying anything, I get a small commission, and their prices do not rise at all.  This is my version of the “tip jar.”






bloggerbuzzdeliciousdiggfacebookgooglelinkedinmyspacenetvibesnewsvineredditslashdotstumbleupontechnoratitwitteryahoo
Book reviews, Portfolio Management, Quantitative Methods, Stocks, Value Investing | RSS 2.0 |

Comments are closed.

Disclaimer


David Merkel is an investment professional, and like every investment professional, he makes mistakes. David encourages you to do your own independent "due diligence" on any idea that he talks about, because he could be wrong. Nothing written here, at RealMoney, Wall Street All-Stars, or anywhere else David may write is an invitation to buy or sell any particular security; at most, David is handing out educated guesses as to what the markets may do. David is fond of saying, "The markets always find a new way to make a fool out of you," and so he encourages caution in investing. Risk control wins the game in the long run, not bold moves. Even the best strategies of the past fail, sometimes spectacularly, when you least expect it. David is not immune to that, so please understand that any past success of his will be probably be followed by failures.


Also, though David runs Aleph Investments, LLC, this blog is not a part of that business. This blog exists to educate investors, and give something back. It is not intended as advertisement for Aleph Investments; David is not soliciting business through it. When David, or a client of David's has an interest in a security mentioned, full disclosure will be given, as has been past practice for all that David does on the web. Disclosure is the breakfast of champions.


Additionally, David may occasionally write about accounting, actuarial, insurance, and tax topics, but nothing written here, at RealMoney, or anywhere else is meant to be formal "advice" in those areas. Consult a reputable professional in those areas to get personal, tailored advice that meets the specialized needs that David can have no knowledge of.

 Subscribe in a reader

 Subscribe in a reader (comments)

Subscribe to RSS Feed

Enter your Email


Preview | Powered by FeedBlitz

Seeking Alpha Certified

Top markets blogs award

The Aleph Blog

Top markets blogs

InstantBull.com: Bull, Boards & Blogs

Blog Directory - Blogged

IStockAnalyst

Benzinga.com supporter

All Economists Contributor

Business Finance Blogs
OnToplist is optimized by SEO
Add blog to our blog directory.

Page optimized by WP Minify WordPress Plugin