Comments on: Beating the Mogul Game — An Exercise in Applied Mathematics http://alephblog.com/2009/12/10/beating-the-mogul-game-an-exercise-in-applied-mathematics/ Helping Institutions and Ordinary People Invest Better by Focusing on Risk Control Sat, 31 Jul 2010 12:01:33 -0400 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: David Merkel http://alephblog.com/2009/12/10/beating-the-mogul-game-an-exercise-in-applied-mathematics/comment-page-1/#comment-23863 David Merkel Sun, 13 Dec 2009 06:50:32 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=2197#comment-23863 Okay, asdf. I did not spend three whole days at it, but you can prove me wrong by looking up their net worths, and beat my score of 80. Show me how bright you are. Okay, asdf. I did not spend three whole days at it, but you can prove me wrong by looking up their net worths, and beat my score of 80. Show me how bright you are.

]]> By: asdf http://alephblog.com/2009/12/10/beating-the-mogul-game-an-exercise-in-applied-mathematics/comment-page-1/#comment-23862 asdf Sun, 13 Dec 2009 06:39:28 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=2197#comment-23862 Another example of someone doing something the complicated way and wasting tons of effort. Did it take you three days of playing to figure out this simple method, or were you just trying to beat the game? If you just wanted to beat the game then why just look up their wealth? Another example of someone doing something the complicated way and wasting tons of effort. Did it take you three days of playing to figure out this simple method, or were you just trying to beat the game? If you just wanted to beat the game then why just look up their wealth?

]]> By: Jeff http://alephblog.com/2009/12/10/beating-the-mogul-game-an-exercise-in-applied-mathematics/comment-page-1/#comment-23861 Jeff Sat, 12 Dec 2009 17:14:02 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=2197#comment-23861 David -- I took a couple of tries at the game. While I recognize many of the names, guessing the exact level of wealth is akin to asking which of two people, both 200 yards down the road, is a few feet closer. Meanwhile, you set the bar pretty high with 80 straight! Those of us interested in college football will get to see some of the non-transitivity of results in action. David — I took a couple of tries at the game. While I recognize many of the names, guessing the exact level of wealth is akin to asking which of two people, both 200 yards down the road, is a few feet closer.

Meanwhile, you set the bar pretty high with 80 straight!

Those of us interested in college football will get to see some of the non-transitivity of results in action.

]]> By: David Merkel http://alephblog.com/2009/12/10/beating-the-mogul-game-an-exercise-in-applied-mathematics/comment-page-1/#comment-23855 David Merkel Thu, 10 Dec 2009 20:13:55 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=2197#comment-23855 Matt, Cool -- thanks. Matt, Cool — thanks.

]]> By: Matt Busigin http://alephblog.com/2009/12/10/beating-the-mogul-game-an-exercise-in-applied-mathematics/comment-page-1/#comment-23854 Matt Busigin Thu, 10 Dec 2009 19:55:39 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=2197#comment-23854 That's generally how "Power Rankings" work. Take a look at how the Puck Prospectus does it for NHL teams here: http://puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=378 Their modeling actually goes far further, looking at each player, and discounting their statistics based on the quality of their line-mates, and the quality of their opposition. Fascinating stuff - I love it. That’s generally how “Power Rankings” work. Take a look at how the Puck Prospectus does it for NHL teams here:

http://puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=378

Their modeling actually goes far further, looking at each player, and discounting their statistics based on the quality of their line-mates, and the quality of their opposition.

Fascinating stuff – I love it.

]]> By: TomOfTheNorth http://alephblog.com/2009/12/10/beating-the-mogul-game-an-exercise-in-applied-mathematics/comment-page-1/#comment-23853 TomOfTheNorth Thu, 10 Dec 2009 17:56:43 +0000 http://alephblog.com/?p=2197#comment-23853 hi David, An obvious application would seem to be ranking companies within an industry sector. Would not a fund manager improve their probability of outperformng a benchmark that is not so vetted? Just wondering. Interesting stuff. I had no idea you were such a NERD!! hehehe Cheers! - TomOfTheNorth hi David,

An obvious application would seem to be ranking companies within an industry sector. Would not a fund manager improve their probability of outperformng a benchmark that is not so vetted?

Just wondering. Interesting stuff. I had no idea you were such a NERD!! hehehe

Cheers!

- TomOfTheNorth

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