Day: September 29, 2011

Not so Good, Not so Bad

Not so Good, Not so Bad

After reading an article at FT Alphaville on Gross Domestic Income, it reminded me of articles I have written on Gross Domestic Purchases, and so I decided to post again.

This time, I have quarterly data going back to 1947, and I post it all here:

Quarter Real GD Product Effect of net imports Real GD Purchases GD Product IPD Effect of net imports GD Purchases IPD Nominal GD Product Effect of net imports Nominal GD Puchases
1947-II ??? (0.60) ??????? 0.71 ???????????????? – ?????? 6.00 ????? (1.45) ???????????? 4.80 ???????? 5.36 ????? (0.75) ??????????? 4.80
1947-III ??? (0.30) ??????? 0.17 ????????? (0.30) ?????? 6.90 ????? (1.04) ???????????? 6.30 ???????? 6.58 ????? (0.87) ??????????? 5.98
1947-IV ?????? 6.20 ??????? 4.33 ?????? ???11.20 ?????? 8.40 ????? (0.47) ???????????? 8.60 ????? 15.12 ??????? 3.84 ???????? 20.76
1948-I ?????? 6.50 ??????? 3.06 ??????????? 9.90 ?????? 4.60 ????? (0.06) ???????????? 5.00 ????? 11.40 ??????? 3.00 ???????? 15.40
1948-II ?????? 7.50 ??????? 3.07 ????????? 11.00 ?????? 4.50 ??????? 0.04 ???????????? 4.90 ????? 12.34 ??????? 3.11 ???????? 16.44
1948-III ?????? 2.20 ??????? 0.33 ??????????? 2.40 ?????? 7.30 ??????? 0.04 ???????????? 7.70 ???????? 9.66 ??????? 0.37 ???????? 10.28
1948-IV ?????? 0.60 ??????? 0.60 ??????????? 1.20 ???? (0.10) ??????? 0.09 ???????????????? – ???????? 0.50 ??????? 0.69 ??????????? 1.20
1949-I ??? (5.50) ????? (2.91) ????????? (8.40) ???? (1.10) ??????? 0.12 ????????? (1.10) ????? (6.54) ????? (2.79) ???????? (9.41)
1949-II ??? (1.40) ????? (0.03) ????????? (1.50) ???? (2.50) ??????? 0.35 ????????? (2.30) ????? (3.86) ??????? 0.32 ???????? (3.77)
1949-III ?????? 4.60 ??????? 1.34 ??????????? 6.10 ???? (3.30) ??????? 0.36 ????????? (3.10) ???????? 1.15 ??????? 1.70 ??????????? 2.81
1949-IV ??? (3.70) ??????? 2.92 ????????? (0.80) ???? (0.10) ??????? 0.33 ???????????? 0.20 ????? (3.80) ??????? 3.26 ???????? (0.60)
1950-I ??? 17.20 ??????? 0.58 ????????? 18.10 ???? (1.50) ??????? 0.63 ????????? (0.90) ????? 15.44 ??????? 1.21 ???????? 17.04
1950-II ??? 12.70 ??????? 0.50 ????????? 13.40 ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.30 ???????????? 1.90 ????? 14.62 ??????? 0.80 ???????? 15.55
1950-III ??? 16.60 ??????? 2.83 ????????? 20.10 ?????? 8.40 ??????? 0.35 ???????????? 8.80 ????? 26.39 ??????? 3.19 ???????? 30.67
1950-IV ?????? 7.20 ????? (1.27) ??????????? 5.90 ?????? 7.00 ??????? 0.47 ???????????? 7.40 ????? 14.70 ????? (0.81) ???????? 13.74
1951-I ?????? 5.10 ????? (0.82) ??????????? 4.30 ???? 14.50 ??????? 0.27 ????????? 14.90 ????? 20.34 ????? (0.55) ???????? 19.84
1951-II ?????? 6.80 ????? (2.38) ??????????? 4.30 ?????? 2.30 ??????? 0.18 ???????????? 2.60 ???????? 9.26 ????? (2.20) ??????????? 7.01
1951-III ?????? 8.20 ????? (2.00) ??????????? 6.10 ?????? 1.30 ????? (0.18) ???????????? 1.20 ???????? 9.61 ????? (2.18) ??????????? 7.37
1951-IV ?????? 0.70 ????? (0.15) ??????????? 0.50 ?????? 5.30 ????? (0.38) ????????? ???5.00 ???????? 6.04 ????? (0.53) ??????????? 5.52
1952-I ?????? 4.10 ??????? 0.78 ??????????? 4.90 ?????? 0.40 ????? (0.24) ???????????? 0.30 ???????? 4.52 ??????? 0.54 ??????????? 5.21
1952-II ?????? 0.40 ??????? 2.28 ??????????? 2.70 ? ?????1.70 ????? (0.27) ???????????? 1.50 ???????? 2.11 ??????? 2.00 ??????????? 4.24
1952-III ?????? 2.70 ??????? 2.47 ??????????? 5.30 ?????? 3.00 ????? (0.27) ???????????? 2.80 ???????? 5.78 ??????? 2.19 ??????????? 8.25
1952-IV ??? 13.90 ??????? 1.31 ????????? 15.40 ?????? 1.40 ????? (0.23) ???????????? 1.10 ????? 15.49 ??????? 1.08 ???????? 16.67
1953-I ?????? 7.70 ????? (0.25) ??????????? 7.50 ?????? 0.30 ????? (0.13) ???????????? 0.10 ???????? 8.02 ????? (0.38) ?????????? ?7.61
1953-II ?????? 3.10 ??????? 0.72 ??????????? 3.80 ?????? 0.90 ????? (0.09) ???????????? 0.80 ???????? 4.03 ??????? 0.63 ??????????? 4.63
1953-III ??? (2.40) ????? (0.69) ????????? (3.10) ?????? 1.30 ????? (0.03) ???????????? 1.30 ????? (1.13) ????? (0.72) ???????? (1.84)
1953-IV ??? (6.20) ????? (0.25) ????????? (6.50) ?????? 1.30 ??????? 0.03 ???????????? 1.40 ????? (4.98) ????? (0.22) ???????? (5.19)
1954-I ??? (1.90) ????? (0.14) ????????? (2.10) ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.16 ?????? ??????2.00 ????? (0.23) ??????? 0.02 ???????? (0.14)
1954-II ?????? 0.50 ????? (0.69) ????????? (0.30) ?????? 0.60 ??????? 0.02 ???????????? 0.80 ???????? 1.10 ????? (0.67) ??????????? 0.50
1954-III ?????? 4.60 ????? (0.37) ??????????? 4.10 ?? ??(0.20) ??????? 0.04 ????????? (0.10) ???????? 4.39 ????? (0.33) ??????????? 4.00
1954-IV ?????? 8.30 ????? (0.49) ??????????? 7.60 ?????? 0.50 ????? (0.10) ???????????? 0.50 ???????? 8.84 ????? (0.59) ??????????? 8.14
1955-I ??? 12.00 ?????? ?0.41 ????????? 12.40 ?????? 1.60 ????? (0.39) ???????????? 1.30 ????? 13.79 ??????? 0.02 ???????? 13.86
1955-II ?????? 6.80 ??????? 1.42 ??????????? 8.20 ?????? 2.20 ????? (0.17) ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 9.15 ??????? 1.25 ???????? 10.47
1955-III ?????? 5.50 ????? (0.71) ??????????? 4.60 ?????? 2.90 ????? (0.15) ???????????? 2.90 ???????? 8.56 ????? (0.86) ??????????? 7.63
1955-IV ?????? 2.20 ??????? 0.58 ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 2.70 ????? (0.14) ???????????? 2.60 ???????? 4.96 ??????? 0.44 ??????????? 5.47
1956-I ??? (1.80) ????? (0.07) ????????? (1.90) ?????? 4.00 ????? (0.14) ???????????? 3.90 ???????? 2.13 ????? (0.21) ??????????? 1.93
1956-II ?????? 3.20 ????? (1.28) ??????????? 1.80 ?????? 3.80 ????? (0.11) ? ???????????3.80 ???????? 7.12 ????? (1.39) ??????????? 5.67
1956-III ??? (0.50) ????? (0.44) ????????? (1.00) ?????? 4.60 ????? (0.17) ???????????? 4.50 ???????? 4.08 ????? (0.61) ??????????? 3.46
1956-IV ?????? 6.70 ????? (1.68) ??????????? 4.90 ?????? 2.40 ????? (0.09) ???????????? 2.40 ???????? 9.26 ????? (1.77) ??????????? 7.42
1957-I ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.01 ??????????? 2.50 ?????? 4.80 ????? (0.26) ???????????? 4.60 ???????? 7.42 ????? (0.25) ??????????? 7.22
1957-II ??? (1.00) ??????? 0.82 ????????? (0.20) ?????? 2.80 ????? (0.18) ???????????? 2.60 ???????? 1.77 ??????? 0.64 ??????????? 2.39
1957-III ?????? 3.90 ??????? 0.26 ??????????? 4.20 ?????? 3.20 ????? (0.19) ???????????? 3.00 ???????? 7.22 ??????? 0.07 ?? ?????????7.33
1957-IV ??? (4.10) ??????? 0.63 ????????? (3.50) ?????? 2.20 ????? (0.15) ???????????? 2.00 ????? (1.99) ??????? 0.48 ???????? (1.57)
1958-I ? (10.40) ??????? 2.11 ????????? (8.40) ?????? 3.40 ????? (0.22) ???????????? 3.20 ????? (7.35) ??????? 1.89 ???????? (5.47)
1958-II ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.65 ??????????? 3.10 ?????? 1.70 ????? (0.13) ???????????? 1.60 ???????? 4.24 ??????? 0.52 ??????????? 4.75
1958-III ?????? 9.70 ????? (0.29) ??????????? 9.40 ?????? 1.00 ????? (0.07) ???????????? 1.00 ????? 10.80 ????? (0.36) ???????? 10.49
1958-IV ?????? 9.70 ??????? 1.00 ????????? 10.70 ?????? 0.40 ????? (0.07) ???????????? 0.40 ????? 10.14 ??????? 0.93 ???????? 11.14
1959-I ?????? 8.30 ????? (0.55) ??????????? 7.60 ?????? 1.50 ??????? 0.01 ???????????? 1.60 ???????? 9.92 ????? (0.54) ??????????? 9.32
1959-II ??? 10.50 ??????? 0.32 ????????? 10.80 ?????? 0.90 ????? (0.01) ???????????? 1.00 ????? 11.49 ??????? 0.31 ???????? 11.91
1959-III ??? (0.50) ????? (0.35) ????????? (0.90) ?????? 1.30 ????? (0.10) ???????????? 1.20 ???????? 0.79 ????? (0.45) ??????????? 0.29
1959-IV ?????? 1.40 ??????? 0.03 ??????????? 1.50 ?????? 1.70 ????? (0.02) ???????????? 1.70 ???????? 3.12 ??????? 0.01 ??????? ????3.23
1960-I ?????? 9.30 ????? (1.69) ??????????? 7.60 ?????? 0.80 ????? (0.04) ???????????? 0.80 ????? 10.17 ????? (1.73) ??????????? 8.46
1960-II ??? (1.90) ????? (1.17) ????????? (3.00) ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.05 ???????????? 1.70 ????? (0.23) ????? (1.12) ???????? (1.35)
1960-III ?????? 0.70 ????? (0.02) ??????????? 0.70 ?????? 1.80 ???????????? – ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 2.51 ????? (0.02) ??????????? 2.51
1960-IV ??? (5.00) ????? (1.25) ????????? (6.30) ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.02 ???????????? 1.80 ????? (3.39) ????? (1.23) ???????? (4.61)
1961-I ?????? 2.40 ??????? 0.07 ??????????? 2.50 ?????? 0.50 ????? (0.09) ???????????? 0.40 ???????? 2.91 ????? (0.02) ??????????? 2.91
1961-II ?????? 7.70 ??????? 0.48 ?????????? ?8.30 ?????? 0.80 ????? (0.30) ???????????? 0.50 ???????? 8.56 ??????? 0.18 ??????????? 8.84
1961-III ?????? 6.60 ??????? 1.18 ??????????? 8.00 ?????? 1.00 ??????? 0.01 ???????????? 1.10 ???????? 7.67 ??????? 1.19 ??????????? 9.19
1961-IV ?????? 8.40 ????? (0.22) ??????????? 8.20 ?????? 1.00 ????? (0.16) ???????????? 0.90 ???????? 9.48 ????? (0.38) ??????????? 9.17
1962-I ?????? 7.40 ??????? 0.56 ??????????? 8.00 ?????? 2.30 ????? (0.23) ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 9.87 ??????? 0.33 ???????? 10.27
1962-II ?????? 4.50 ????? (1.51) ??????????? 3.00 ?????? 1.00 ??????? 0.22 ???????????? 1.30 ???????? 5.54 ????? (1.29) ??????????? 4.34
1962-III ?????? 3.70 ??????? 1.39 ??????????? 5.30 ?????? 1.10 ????? (0.05) ??????? ?????1.00 ???????? 4.84 ??????? 1.34 ??????????? 6.35
1962-IV ?????? 1.00 ??????? 0.63 ??????????? 1.60 ?????? 1.40 ??????? 0.06 ???????????? 1.50 ???????? 2.41 ??????? 0.69 ??????????? 3.12
1963-I ?????? 5.30 ????? (0.86) ??????????? 4.50 ?????? 1.10 ??????? 0.13 ???????????? 1.30 ???????? 6.46 ????? (0.73) ??????????? 5.86
1963-II ?????? 5.10 ????? (1.88) ??????????? 3.20 ?????? 0.40 ??????? 0.11 ???????????? 0.50 ???????? 5.52 ????? (1.77) ??????????? 3.72
1963-III ?????? 7.70 ??????? 1.53 ??????????? 9.50 ?????? 0.70 ??????? 0.15 ???????????? 0.90 ???????? 8.45 ??????? 1.68 ???????? 10.49
1963-IV ?????? 3.10 ????? (1.04) ??????????? 2.00 ?????? 2.40 ??????? 0.08 ???????????? 2.50 ???????? 5.57 ????? (0.96) ??????????? 4.55
1964-I ?????? 9.30 ????? (1.29) ??????????? 8.00 ?????? 1.50 ??????? 0.11 ???????????? 1.60 ????? 10.94 ????? (1.18) ??????????? 9.73
1964-II ?????? 4.70 ??????? 0.02 ??????????? 4.70 ?????? 1.30 ??????? 0.10 ???????????? 1.50 ???????? 6.06 ??????? 0.12 ??????????? 6.27
1964-III ?????? 5.50 ??????? 0.60 ??????????? 6.30 ?????? 2.00 ????? (0.19) ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 7.61 ??????? 0.41 ??????????? 8.21
1964-IV ?????? 1.10 ????? (0.17) ??????????? 1.00 ????? ?1.80 ????? (0.18) ???????????? 1.70 ???????? 2.92 ????? (0.35) ??????????? 2.72
1965-I ??? 10.20 ??????? 1.65 ????????? 12.20 ?????? 1.70 ????? (0.33) ???????????? 1.40 ????? 12.07 ??????? 1.31 ???????? 13.77
1965-II ?????? 5.50 ????? (1.67) ??????????? 3.90 ?????? 1.80 ????? (0.01) ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 7.40 ????? (1.68) ??????????? 5.77
1965-III ?????? 8.40 ??????? 1.31 ??????????? 9.90 ?????? 1.80 ??????? 0.10 ???????????? 1.90 ????? 10.35 ??????? 1.41 ???????? 11.99
1965-IV ??? 10.00 ????? (0.64) ??????????? 9.40 ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.26 ???????????? 2.80 ????? 12.75 ????? (0.38) ???????? 12.46
1966-I ??? 10.20 ??????? 0.82 ????????? 11.20 ?????? 2.50 ????? (0.26) ???????????? 2.30 ????? 12.96 ??????? 0.56 ???????? 13.76
1966-II ?????? 1.30 ????? (0.44) ??????????? 0.90 ?????? 3.80 ??????? 0.02 ???????????? 3.90 ???????? 5.15 ????? (0.42) ??????????? 4.84
1966-III ?????? 2.70 ??????? 1.82 ??????????? 4.60 ?????? 3.80 ????? (0.29) ????????? ???3.50 ???????? 6.60 ??????? 1.52 ??????????? 8.26
1966-IV ?????? 3.30 ????? (0.48) ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 3.60 ????? (0.23) ???????????? 3.30 ???????? 7.02 ????? (0.71) ??????????? 6.19
1967-I ?????? 3.60 ????? (0.13) ??????????? 3.50 ??? ???2.00 ????? (0.35) ???????????? 1.60 ???????? 5.67 ????? (0.48) ??????????? 5.16
1967-II ?????? 0.10 ??????? 0.03 ??????????? 0.10 ?????? 2.50 ????? (0.01) ???????????? 2.50 ???????? 2.60 ??????? 0.02 ??????????? 2.60
1967-III ?????? 3.20 ??????? 0.75 ??????????? 4.00 ?????? 3.70 ??????? 0.03 ???????????? 3.80 ???????? 7.02 ??????? 0.78 ??????????? 7.95
1967-IV ?????? 3.10 ??????? 0.41 ??????????? 3.50 ?????? 4.50 ????? (0.11) ???????????? 4.40 ???????? 7.74 ??????? 0.30 ?? ?????????8.05
1968-I ?????? 8.50 ??????? 0.54 ??????????? 9.10 ?????? 4.40 ????? (0.03) ???????????? 4.40 ????? 13.27 ??????? 0.51 ???????? 13.90
1968-II ?????? 7.00 ????? (0.12) ??????????? 6.90 ?????? 4.50 ????? (0.29) ???????????? 4.30 ? ????11.82 ????? (0.41) ???????? 11.50
1968-III ?????? 2.80 ????? (0.01) ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 3.90 ??????? 0.30 ???????????? 4.20 ???????? 6.81 ??????? 0.29 ??????????? 7.12
1968-IV ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.10 ??????????? 1.80 ?????? 5.70 ? ????(0.01) ???????????? 5.70 ???????? 7.50 ??????? 0.09 ??????????? 7.60
1969-I ?????? 6.50 ??????? 0.57 ??????????? 7.10 ?????? 4.10 ????? (0.22) ???????????? 3.90 ????? 10.87 ??????? 0.35 ???????? 11.28
1969-II ?????? 1.20 ????? (0.50) ?? ?????????0.70 ?????? 5.50 ??????? 0.05 ???????????? 5.50 ???????? 6.77 ????? (0.45) ??????????? 6.24
1969-III ?????? 2.60 ??????? 0.25 ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 5.90 ????? (0.15) ???????????? 5.80 ???????? 8.65 ??????? 0.10 ??????????? 8.76
1969-IV ??? (1.90) ????? (0.98) ????????? (2.80) ?????? 5.10 ??????? 0.02 ???????????? 5.20 ???????? 3.10 ????? (0.96) ??????????? 2.25
1970-I ??? (0.60) ????? (0.26) ????????? (0.90) ?????? 5.70 ??????? 0.23 ???????????? 5.90 ???????? 5.07 ????? (0.03) ??????????? 4.95
1970-II ?????? 0.70 ????? (0.57) ??????????? 0.20 ?????? 5.90 ????? (0.22) ???????????? 5.70 ???????? 6.64 ????? (0.79) ??????????? 5.91
1970-III ?????? 3.60 ??????? 0.02 ??????????? 3.70 ?????? 3.20 ??????? 0.56 ???? ????????3.80 ???????? 6.92 ??????? 0.58 ??????????? 7.64
1970-IV ??? (4.20) ??????? 0.12 ????????? (4.10) ?????? 5.20 ??????? 0.12 ???????????? 5.30 ???????? 0.78 ??????? 0.24 ??????????? 0.98
1971-I ??? 11.50 ????? (0.39) ????????? 11.20 ? ?????6.20 ????? (0.15) ???????????? 6.10 ????? 18.41 ????? (0.54) ???????? 17.98
1971-II ?????? 2.30 ??????? 1.65 ??????????? 4.00 ?????? 5.50 ??????? 0.01 ???????????? 5.50 ???????? 7.93 ??????? 1.66 ??????????? 9.72
1971-III ?????? 3.20 ????? (0.43) ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 4.00 ??????? 0.37 ???????????? 4.40 ???????? 7.33 ????? (0.06) ??????????? 7.32
1971-IV ?????? 1.10 ??????? 0.36 ??????????? 1.50 ?????? 3.20 ??????? 0.18 ???????????? 3.40 ???????? 4.34 ??????? 0.54 ???? ???????4.95
1972-I ?????? 7.30 ??????? 0.88 ??????????? 8.30 ?????? 6.70 ????? (0.29) ???????????? 6.40 ????? 14.49 ??????? 0.59 ???????? 15.23
1972-II ?????? 9.80 ????? (0.23) ??????????? 9.60 ?????? 2.30 ??????? 0.42 ???????????? 2.80 ?? ???12.33 ??????? 0.19 ???????? 12.67
1972-III ?????? 3.90 ????? (0.82) ??????????? 3.00 ?????? 3.70 ??????? 0.28 ???????????? 4.00 ???????? 7.74 ????? (0.54) ??????????? 7.12
1972-IV ?????? 6.80 ??????? 0.11 ??????????? 6.90 ?????? 4.80 ?? ???(0.01) ???????????? 4.80 ????? 11.93 ??????? 0.10 ???????? 12.03
1973-I ??? 10.60 ????? (0.61) ????????? 10.00 ?????? 5.30 ??????? 0.02 ???????????? 5.40 ????? 16.46 ????? (0.59) ???????? 15.94
1973-II ?????? 4.70 ????? (1.96) ??????????? 2.70 ?????? 6.80 ??????? 0.77 ???????????? 7.70 ????? 11.82 ????? (1.21) ???????? 10.61
1973-III ??? (2.10) ????? (0.78) ????????? (3.00) ?????? 7.90 ????? (0.41) ???????????? 7.60 ???????? 5.63 ????? (1.19) ??????????? 4.37
1973-IV ?????? 3.90 ????? (1.16) ??????????? 2.60 ?????? 7.00 ??????? 0.44 ???????????? 7.70 ????? 11.17 ????? (0.73) ???????? 10.50
1974-I ??? (3.50) ????? (1.39) ????????? (4.90) ?????? 8.50 ??????? 2.13 ????????? 11.10 ???????? 4.70 ??????? 0.71 ??????????? 5.66
1974-II ?????? 1.00 ??????? 0.14 ??????????? 1.10 ?????? 9.30 ??????? 2.32 ????????? 12.00 ????? 10.39 ??????? 2.46 ???????? 13.23
1974-III ??? (3.90) ??????? 1.26 ????????? (2.70) ???? 13.10 ????? (0.26) ????????? 12.90 ???????? 8.69 ??????? 1.00 ??????????? 9.85
1974-IV ??? (1.60) ????? (1.23) ????????? (2.70) ???? 12.90 ????? (0.74) ????????? 12.20 ????? 11.09 ????? (1.96) ??????????? 9.17
1975-I ??? (4.80) ????? (3.81) ????????? (8.30) ?????? 9.50 ????? (0.52) ???????????? 9.00 ???????? 4.24 ????? (4.31) ???????? (0.05)
1975-II ?????? 3.10 ????? (1.52) ??????????? 1.70 ?????? 5.90 ??????? 0.15 ???????????? 6.20 ???????? 9.18 ????? (1.37) ??????????? 8.01
1975-III ?????? 6.90 ??????? 2.88 ????????? 10.20 ?????? 7.70 ????? (0.60) ???????????? 7.10 ????? 15.13 ??????? 2.26 ???????? 18.02
1975-IV ?????? 5.30 ????? (0.26) ??????????? 5.10 ?????? 7.20 ????? (0.19) ???????????? 7.10 ????? 12.88 ????? (0.45) ???????? 12.56
1976-I ?????? 9.40 ??????? 2.11 ????????? 11.80 ?????? 4.60 ???????????? – ???????????? 4.60 ????? 14.43 ??????? 2.11 ???????? 16.94
1976-II ?????? 3.00 ??????? 1.05 ??????????? 4.10 ?????? 4.30 ??????? 0.12 ???????????? 4.40 ???????? 7.43 ??????? 1.17 ??????????? 8.68
1976-III ?????? 2.00 ??????? 0.39 ??????????? 2.40 ?????? 5.50 ??????? 0.39 ???????????? 5.90 ???????? 7.61 ??????? 0.78 ??????????? 8.44
1976-IV ?????? 2.90 ??????? 0.77 ??????????? 3.70 ?????? 7.00 ????? (0.26) ???????????? 6.70 ????? 10.10 ??????? 0.51 ???????? 10.65
1977-I ?????? 4.70 ??????? 2.13 ??????????? 7.00 ?????? 6.90 ??????? 0.84 ???????????? 7.80 ????? 11.92 ??????? 2.99 ???????? 15.35
1977-II ?????? 8.20 ????? (0.57) ??????????? 7.50 ?????? 6.50 ??????? 0.51 ???????????? 7.00 ????? 15.23 ????? (0.06) ???????? 15.03
1977-III ?????? 7.40 ????? (0.77) ??????????? 6.50 ?????? 5.60 ??????? 0.61 ???????????? 6.20 ????? 13.41 ????? (0.16) ???????? 13.10
1977-IV ??? (0.10) ??????? 1.53 ??????????? 1.40 ?????? 6.90 ??????? 0.19 ???????????? 7.10 ???????? 6.79 ??????? 1.72 ??????????? 8.60
1978-I ?????? 1.40 ??????? 1.75 ??????????? 3.00 ?????? 6.80 ????? (0.03) ???????????? 6.70 ???????? 8.30 ??????? 1.72 ??????????? 9.90
1978-II ??? 16.70 ????? (3.20) ????????? 13.00 ?????? 7.90 ??????? 0.06 ???????????? 7.90 ????? 25.92 ????? (3.14) ???????? 21.93
1978-III ?????? 4.00 ??????? 0.14 ??????????? 4.00 ?????? 7.10 ??????? 0.04 ???????????? 7.10 ????? 11.38 ??????? 0.18 ???????? 11.38
1978-IV ?????? 5.40 ????? (0.81) ??????????? 4.50 ?????? 8.40 ????? (0.49) ???????????? 7.90 ????? 14.25 ????? (1.30) ???????? 12.76
1979-I ?????? 0.70 ????? (0.14) ??????????? 0.50 ?????? 7.50 ??????? 0.40 ???????????? 8.00 ???????? 8.25 ??????? 0.26 ??????????? 8.54
1979-II ?????? 0.40 ??????? 0.10 ??????????? 0.50 ???? 10.10 ??????? 0.49 ????????? 10.60 ????? 10.54 ??????? 0.59 ???????? 11.15
1979-III ?????? 2.90 ????? (1.89) ??????????? 1.00 ?????? 8.50 ??????? 1.98 ????????? 10.60 ????? 11.65 ??????? 0.05 ???????? 11.71
1979-IV ?????? 1.10 ????? (1.41) ????????? (0.20) ?????? 8.20 ??????? 1.96 ????????? 10.10 ???????? 9.39 ??????? 0.52 ??????????? 9.88
1980-I ?????? 1.30 ????? (1.07) ??????????? 0.30 ?????? 9.10 ??????? 2.38 ????????? 11.50 ????? 10.52 ??????? 1.28 ???????? 11.83
1980-II ??? (7.90) ????? (4.08) ?????? (11.50) ?????? 9.20 ??????? 1.02 ????????? 10.20 ???????? 0.57 ????? (3.10) ???????? (2.47)
1980-III ??? (0.70) ????? (3.04) ????????? (3.60) ?????? 9.40 ????? (0.03) ???????????? 9.40 ???????? 8.63 ????? (3.07) ??????????? 5.46
1980-IV ?????? 7.60 ??????? 2.31 ????????? 10.20 ???? 11.80 ????? (0.73) ????????? 11.00 ????? 20.30 ??????? 1.56 ???????? 22.32
1981-I ?????? 8.60 ??????? 0.91 ??????????? 9.60 ???? 10.90 ????? (0.03) ????????? 11.00 ????? 20.44 ??????? 0.88 ???????? 21.66
1981-II ??? (3.20) ????? (0.19) ????????? (3.30) ?????? 7.30 ??????? 0.03 ???????????? 7.40 ???????? 3.87 ????? (0.16) ?? ?????????3.86
1981-III ?????? 4.90 ??????? 0.35 ??????????? 5.30 ?????? 7.50 ????? (1.19) ???????????? 6.30 ????? 12.77 ????? (0.84) ???????? 11.93
1981-IV ??? (4.90) ??????? 0.92 ????????? (4.00) ?????? 7.20 ????? (0.07) ???????????? 7.10 ?? ??????1.95 ??????? 0.85 ??????????? 2.82
1982-I ??? (6.40) ??????? 0.49 ????????? (5.90) ?????? 5.80 ????? (0.36) ???????????? 5.40 ????? (0.97) ??????? 0.13 ???????? (0.82)
1982-II ?????? 2.20 ????? (0.84) ??????????? 1.30 ?????? 5.00 ????? (0.66) ???????????? 4.30 ???????? 7.31 ????? (1.49) ??????????? 5.66
1982-III ??? (1.50) ??????? 3.31 ??????????? 1.80 ?????? 5.70 ????? (0.21) ???????????? 5.40 ???????? 4.11 ??????? 3.09 ??????????? 7.30
1982-IV ?????? 0.30 ??????? 0.10 ???? ???????0.40 ?????? 4.30 ????? (0.09) ???????????? 4.10 ???????? 4.61 ??????? 0.01 ??????????? 4.52
1983-I ?????? 5.10 ??????? 0.30 ??????????? 5.40 ?????? 3.50 ????? (0.89) ???????????? 2.50 ???????? 8.78 ????? (0.59) ??????????? 8.04
1983-II ?????? 9.30 ??????? 2.54 ????????? 12.00 ?????? 3.00 ????? (0.11) ???????????? 2.80 ????? 12.58 ??????? 2.43 ???????? 15.14
1983-III ?????? 8.10 ??????? 2.32 ????????? 10.50 ?????? 4.10 ????? (0.11) ???????????? 4.00 ????? 12.53 ??????? 2.21 ???????? 14.92
1983-IV ?????? 8.50 ??????? 1.17 ??????????? 9.70 ?????? 2.90 ????? (0.55) ???????????? 2.30 ????? 11.65 ??????? 0.61 ???????? 12.22
1984-I ?????? 8.00 ??????? 2.37 ????????? 10.40 ?????? 5.10 ??????? 0.07 ???????????? 5.10 ????? 13.51 ??????? 2.44 ???????? 16.03
1984-II ?????? 7.10 ??????? 0.89 ??????????? 7.90 ?????? 3.70 ??????? 0.02 ???????????? 3.60 ????? 11.06 ??????? 0.91 ???????? 11.78
1984-III ?????? 3.90 ??????? 0.36 ??????????? 4.20 ?????? 3.30 ????? (0.44) ???????????? 2.80 ???????? 7.33 ????? (0.08) ??????????? 7.12
1984-IV ?????? 3.30 ??????? 0.58 ??????????? 3.80 ?????? 2.40 ????? (0.19) ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 5.78 ??????? 0.39 ??????????? 5.98
1985-I ?????? 3.80 ????? (0.91) ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 4.70 ????? (0.67) ???????????? 3.90 ???????? 8.68 ????? (1.57) ??????????? 6.81
1985-II ?????? 3.40 ??????? 2.01 ??????????? 5.40 ?????? 2.10 ??????? 0.28 ???????????? 2.30 ???????? 5.57 ??????? 2.30 ??????????? 7.82
1985-III ?????? 6.40 ??????? 0.01 ??????????? 6.30 ?????? 1.90 ??????? 0.27 ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 8.42 ??????? 0.28 ??????????? 8.53
1985-IV ?????? 3.10 ??????? 0.68 ??????????? 3.70 ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.84 ???????????? 3.20 ??? ?????5.68 ??????? 1.53 ??????????? 7.02
1986-I ?????? 3.90 ????? (0.95) ??????????? 2.90 ?????? 2.00 ??????? 0.25 ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 5.98 ????? (0.70) ??????????? 5.16
1986-II ?????? 1.60 ??????? 1.37 ??????????? 2.90 ?????? 2.00 ? ????(1.16) ???????????? 0.80 ???????? 3.63 ??????? 0.19 ??????????? 3.72
1986-III ?????? 3.90 ??????? 0.47 ??????????? 4.30 ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.38 ???????????? 2.90 ???????? 6.50 ??????? 0.85 ??????????? 7.32
1986-IV ?????? 1.90 ????? (0.72) ??????????? 1.20 ?????? 2.90 ??????? 0.21 ???????????? 3.10 ???????? 4.86 ????? (0.51) ??????????? 4.34
1987-I ?????? 2.20 ????? (0.23) ??????????? 1.90 ?????? 3.20 ??????? 0.87 ???????????? 4.00 ???????? 5.47 ??????? 0.64 ??????????? 5.98
1987-II ?????? 4.30 ????? (0.10) ??????????? 4.10 ?????? 2.30 ??????? 0.63 ???????????? 2.90 ???????? 6.70 ??????? 0.53 ??????????? 7.12
1987-III ?????? 3.50 ????? (0.45) ??????????? 2.90 ?????? 3.20 ??????? 0.30 ???????????? 3.40 ?????? ??6.81 ????? (0.15) ??????????? 6.40
1987-IV ?????? 7.00 ????? (0.18) ??????????? 6.70 ?????? 2.90 ??????? 0.13 ???????????? 3.00 ????? 10.10 ????? (0.05) ??????????? 9.90
1988-I ?????? 2.10 ????? (1.99) ??????????? 0.10 ?????? 3.30 ??????? 0.24 ???????????? 3.40 ???????? 5.47 ????? (1.75) ??????????? 3.50
1988-II ?????? 5.20 ????? (1.47) ??????????? 3.60 ?????? 3.90 ??????? 0.05 ???????????? 3.90 ???????? 9.30 ????? (1.42) ??????????? 7.64
1988-III ?????? 2.10 ??????? 0.36 ??? ????????2.40 ?????? 4.80 ????? (0.93) ???????????? 3.80 ???????? 7.00 ????? (0.57) ??????????? 6.29
1988-IV ?????? 5.50 ??????? 0.21 ??????????? 5.60 ?????? 3.30 ??????? 0.42 ???????????? 3.60 ???????? 8.98 ??????? 0.63 ??????????? 9.40
1989-I ?????? 3.80 ????? (0.86) ??????????? 2.90 ?????? 4.20 ??????? 0.33 ???????????? 4.50 ???????? 8.16 ????? (0.53) ??????????? 7.53
1989-II ?????? 3.00 ????? (1.38) ??????????? 1.60 ?????? 4.00 ??????? 0.42 ???????????? 4.40 ???????? 7.12 ? ????(0.97) ??????????? 6.07
1989-III ?????? 3.20 ????? (0.48) ??????????? 2.70 ?????? 2.70 ????? (0.51) ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 5.99 ????? (0.99) ??????????? 4.96
1989-IV ?????? 0.90 ??????? 0.18 ??????????? 1.00 ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.34 ???????????? 2.80 ???????? 3.42 ??????? 0.52 ??????????? 3.83
1990-I ?????? 4.20 ????? (0.26) ??????????? 3.90 ?????? 4.90 ??????? 0.62 ???????????? 5.50 ???????? 9.31 ??????? 0.36 ??????????? 9.61
1990-II ?????? 1.60 ????? (0.58) ?????????? ?1.00 ?????? 4.70 ????? (0.89) ???????????? 3.80 ???????? 6.38 ????? (1.46) ??????????? 4.84
1990-III ?????????? – ????? (0.44) ????????? (0.40) ?????? 3.80 ??????? 0.85 ???????????? 4.60 ???????? 3.80 ??????? 0.41 ??????????? 4.18
1990-IV ??? (3.50) ????? (1.50) ????????? (4.80) ?????? 3.30 ??????? 1.77 ???????????? 5.10 ????? (0.32) ??????? 0.24 ??????????? 0.06
1991-I ??? (1.90) ????? (0.75) ????????? (2.60) ?????? 4.30 ????? (1.52) ???????????? 2.80 ???????? 2.32 ????? (2.26) ? ??????????0.13
1991-II ?????? 2.70 ????? (0.65) ??????????? 2.10 ?????? 2.80 ????? (0.99) ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 5.58 ????? (1.63) ??????????? 3.94
1991-III ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.25 ??????????? 1.90 ?????? 3.10 ????? (0.40) ???????????? 2.70 ???????? 4.85 ????? (0.15) ??????????? 4.65
1991-IV ?????? 1.60 ???????????? – ??????????? 1.60 ?????? 2.30 ??????? 0.10 ???????????? 2.40 ???????? 3.94 ??????? 0.10 ??????????? 4.04
1992-I ?????? 4.50 ????? (0.45) ??????????? 4.00 ?? ????2.30 ??????? 0.24 ???????????? 2.50 ???????? 6.90 ????? (0.21) ??????????? 6.60
1992-II ?????? 4.30 ??????? 0.67 ??????????? 5.00 ?????? 2.40 ??????? 0.12 ???????????? 2.50 ???????? 6.80 ??????? 0.79 ??????????? 7.62
1992-III ?????? 4.20 ????? (0.21) ??????????? 4.00 ?????? 1.80 ??????? 0.54 ???????????? 2.30 ???????? 6.08 ??????? 0.33 ??????????? 6.39
1992-IV ?????? 4.30 ??????? 0.80 ??????????? 5.10 ?????? 2.30 ????? (0.25) ???????????? 2.00 ???????? 6.70 ??????? 0.55 ??????????? 7.20
1993-I ?????? 0.70 ??????? 0.83 ??????????? 1.60 ?????? 2.50 ????? (0.27) ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 3.22 ??????? 0.56 ??????????? 3.84
1993-II ?????? 2.60 ??????? 0.40 ??????????? 3.00 ?????? 2.20 ??????? 0.06 ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 4.86 ??????? 0.46 ??????????? 5.27
1993-III ?????? 2.10 ??????? 0.69 ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 1.90 ????? (0.35) ???????????? 1.50 ???????? 4.04 ??????? 0.34 ??????????? 4.34
1993-IV ?????? 5.40 ??????? 0.45 ??????????? 5.80 ? ?????2.10 ????? (0.16) ???????????? 1.90 ???????? 7.61 ??????? 0.29 ??????????? 7.81
1994-I ?????? 4.00 ??????? 0.62 ??????????? 4.60 ?????? 2.20 ????? (0.23) ???????????? 2.00 ???????? 6.29 ??????? 0.39 ??????????? 6.69
1994-II ?????? 5.60 ??????? 0.32 ??????????? 5.90 ?????? 1.90 ??????? 0.26 ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 7.61 ??????? 0.58 ??????????? 8.23
1994-III ?????? 2.60 ????? (0.26) ??????????? 2.30 ?????? 2.30 ??????? 0.55 ???????????? 2.80 ???????? 4.96 ??????? 0.29 ??????????? 5.16
1994-IV ?????? 4.50 ??????? 0.39 ??????????? 4.90 ?????? 2.10 ????? (0.08) ???????????? 2.00 ???????? 6.69 ??????? 0.31 ??????????? 7.00
1995-I ?????? 1.00 ??????? 0.28 ??????????? 1.20 ?????? 2.40 ????? (0.05) ???????????? 2.30 ???????? 3.42 ??????? 0.23 ??????????? 3.53
1995-II ?????? 0.90 ????? (0.12) ??????????? 0.70 ?????? 1.80 ??????? 0.37 ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 2.72 ??????? 0.25 ??????????? 2.81
1995-III ?????? 3.40 ????? (1.72) ??????????? 1.60 ??? ???1.70 ????? (0.20) ???????????? 1.50 ???????? 5.16 ????? (1.92) ??????????? 3.12
1995-IV ?????? 2.80 ????? (0.03) ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 2.10 ????? (0.24) ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 4.96 ????? (0.27) ??????????? 4.65
1996-I ?????? 2.80 ??? ????0.99 ??????????? 3.80 ?????? 2.20 ????? (0.03) ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 5.06 ??????? 0.96 ??????????? 5.98
1996-II ?????? 7.10 ??????? 0.30 ??????????? 7.40 ?????? 1.50 ????? (0.11) ???????????? 1.40 ???????? 8.71 ??????? 0.19 ??????? ????8.90
1996-III ?????? 3.50 ??????? 1.18 ??????????? 4.70 ?????? 2.00 ????? (0.18) ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 5.57 ??????? 1.00 ??????????? 6.58
1996-IV ?????? 4.40 ????? (1.80) ??????????? 2.60 ?????? 1.80 ??????? 0.45 ???????????? 2.30 ???????? 6.28 ????? (1.36) ??????????? 4.96
1997-I ?????? 3.10 ??????? 1.19 ??????????? 4.30 ?????? 2.10 ????? (0.24) ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 5.27 ??????? 0.95 ??????????? 6.18
1997-II ?????? 6.10 ????? (0.18) ??????????? 5.90 ?????? 1.80 ????? (1.01) ???????????? 0.70 ???????? 8.01 ????? (1.19) ??????????? 6.64
1997-III ?????? 5.10 ??????? 0.72 ??????????? 5.90 ?????? 1.10 ????? (0.19) ???????????? 0.90 ???????? 6.26 ??????? 0.53 ??????????? 6.85
1997-IV ?????? 3.10 ??????? 1.16 ??????????? 4.30 ?????? 1.50 ????? (0.20) ???????????? 1.30 ???????? 4.65 ??????? 0.96 ??????????? 5.66
1998-I ?????? 3.80 ??????? 1.66 ??????????? 5.50 ?????? 0.60 ????? (0.81) ????????? (0.20) ???????? 4.42 ??????? 0.84 ??????????? 5.29
1998-II ?????? 3.60 ??????? 1.66 ??????????? 5.30 ?????? 1.00 ????? (0.39) ???????????? 0.60 ???????? 4.64 ??????? 1.26 ??????????? 5.93
1998-III ?????? 5.40 ??????? 0.86 ??????????? 6.20 ?????? 1.50 ????? (0.31) ???????????? 1.20 ?????? ??6.98 ??????? 0.55 ??????????? 7.47
1998-IV ?????? 7.10 ????? (0.02) ??????????? 7.00 ?????? 1.10 ??????? 0.12 ???????????? 1.20 ???????? 8.28 ??????? 0.10 ??????????? 8.28
1999-I ?????? 3.60 ??????? 1.59 ??????????? 5.20 ?????? 1.70 ??? ??(0.07) ???????????? 1.60 ???????? 5.36 ??????? 1.52 ??????????? 6.88
1999-II ?????? 3.20 ??????? 1.14 ??????????? 4.30 ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.55 ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 4.95 ??????? 1.70 ??????????? 6.59
1999-III ?????? 5.20 ??????? 0.80 ??????????? 5.90 ?????? 1.40 ??????? 0.55 ???????????? 1.90 ???????? 6.67 ??????? 1.35 ??????????? 7.91
1999-IV ?????? 7.40 ??????? 0.22 ??????????? 7.40 ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.57 ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 9.23 ??????? 0.79 ??????????? 9.76
2000-I ?????? 1.10 ??????? 1.53 ??????????? 2.50 ?????? 3.10 ??????? 0.75 ???????????? 3.70 ???????? 4.23 ??????? 2.29 ??????????? 6.29
2000-II ?????? 8.00 ??????? 0.50 ??????????? 8.30 ?????? 2.00 ????? (0.28) ???????????? 1.70 ????? 10.16 ??????? 0.22 ???????? 10.14
2000-III ?????? 0.30 ??????? 0.98 ??????????? 1.30 ?????? 2.40 ??????? 0.28 ???????????? 2.60 ???????? 2.71 ??????? 1.26 ??????????? 3.93
2000-IV ?????? 2.40 ??????? 0.30 ??????????? 2.60 ?????? 2.00 ??? ????0.25 ???????????? 2.20 ???????? 4.45 ??????? 0.55 ??????????? 4.86
2001-I ??? (1.30) ????? (0.30) ????????? (1.50) ?????? 2.80 ????? (0.28) ???????????? 2.40 ???????? 1.46 ????? (0.58) ??????????? 0.86
2001-II ?????? 2.70 ????? (0.33) ???? ???????2.20 ?????? 2.80 ????? (0.93) ???????????? 1.80 ???????? 5.58 ????? (1.26) ??????????? 4.04
2001-III ??? (1.10) ??????? 0.79 ????????? (0.30) ?????? 1.30 ????? (0.67) ???????????? 0.60 ???????? 0.19 ??????? 0.11 ??????????? 0.30
2001-IV ?????? 1.40 ??????? 0.48 ??????????? 1.80 ?????? 1.10 ????? (0.84) ???????????? 0.30 ???????? 2.52 ????? (0.36) ??????????? 2.11
2002-I ?????? 3.50 ??????? 0.70 ??????????? 4.00 ?????? 1.50 ????? (0.05) ???????????? 1.40 ???????? 5.05 ????? ??0.65 ??????????? 5.46
2002-II ?????? 2.10 ??????? 0.76 ??????????? 2.80 ?????? 1.80 ??????? 0.88 ???????????? 2.60 ???????? 3.94 ??????? 1.65 ??????????? 5.47
2002-III ?????? 2.00 ??????? 0.62 ??????????? 2.60 ?????? 1.80 ??????? 0.04 ???????????? 1.70 ???????? 3.84 ??????? 0.66 ??????????? 4.34
2002-IV ?????? 0.10 ??????? 1.35 ??????????? 1.50 ?????? 2.30 ??????? 0.28 ???????????? 2.50 ???????? 2.40 ??????? 1.63 ??????????? 4.04
2003-I ?????? 1.70 ????? (0.36) ????????? ??1.30 ?????? 2.80 ??????? 1.23 ???????????? 3.90 ???????? 4.55 ??????? 0.87 ??????????? 5.25
2003-II ?????? 3.40 ??????? 0.89 ??????????? 4.20 ?????? 1.20 ????? (0.87) ???????????? 0.30 ???????? 4.64 ??????? 0.01 ??????????? 4.51
2003-III ?????? 6.70 ????? (0.39) ??????????? 6.10 ?????? 2.20 ??????? 0.17 ???????????? 2.30 ???????? 9.05 ????? (0.22) ??????????? 8.54
2003-IV ?????? 3.70 ??????? 0.30 ??????????? 3.80 ?????? 2.10 ??????? 0.02 ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 5.88 ??? ????0.32 ??????????? 5.98
2004-I ?????? 2.70 ??????? 0.54 ??????????? 3.10 ?????? 3.40 ??????? 0.74 ???????????? 4.10 ???????? 6.19 ??????? 1.28 ??????????? 7.33
2004-II ?????? 2.60 ??????? 1.74 ??????????? 4.20 ?????? 3.50 ??????? 0.30 ???????????? 3.60 ???????? 6.19 ??????? 2.05 ??????????? 7.95
2004-III ?????? 3.00 ??????? 0.60 ??????????? 3.40 ?????? 3.00 ??????? 0.40 ???????????? 3.20 ???????? 6.09 ??????? 1.00 ??????????? 6.71
2004-IV ?????? 3.30 ??????? 0.65 ?????? ?????3.80 ?????? 3.00 ??????? 1.02 ???????????? 3.80 ???????? 6.40 ??????? 1.68 ??????????? 7.74
2005-I ?????? 4.20 ????? (0.40) ??????????? 3.60 ?????? 3.80 ??????? 0.08 ???????????? 3.60 ???????? 8.16 ????? (0.32) ??????????? 7.33
2005-II ?????? 1.80 ????? (0.19) ??????????? 1.50 ?????? 2.70 ??????? 0.59 ???????????? 3.10 ???????? 4.55 ??????? 0.40 ??????????? 4.65
2005-III ?????? 3.20 ??????? 0.36 ??????????? 3.40 ?????? 4.20 ??????? 1.01 ???????????? 4.90 ???????? 7.53 ? ??????1.37 ??????????? 8.47
2005-IV ?????? 2.10 ??????? 0.75 ??????????? 2.70 ?????? 3.40 ??????? 0.97 ???????????? 4.10 ???????? 5.57 ??????? 1.73 ??????????? 6.91
2006-I ?????? 5.10 ????? (0.44) ??????????? 4.50 ?????? 3.00 ????? (0.01) ???????????? 2.80 ???????? 8.25 ????? (0.45) ??????????? 7.43
2006-II ?????? 1.60 ????? (0.01) ??????????? 1.60 ?????? 3.60 ??????? 0.17 ???????????? 3.50 ???????? 5.26 ??????? 0.16 ??????????? 5.16
2006-III ?????? 0.10 ??????? 0.72 ???????? ???0.70 ?????? 3.00 ???????????? – ???????????? 2.90 ???????? 3.10 ??????? 0.72 ??????????? 3.62
2006-IV ?????? 2.70 ????? (1.95) ??????????? 0.70 ?????? 1.80 ????? (0.79) ???????????? 1.00 ???????? 4.55 ????? (2.72) ??????????? 1.71
2007-I ?????? 0.50 ??????? 0.25 ??????????? 0.80 ?????? 4.60 ??????? 0.03 ???????????? 4.50 ???????? 5.12 ??????? 0.28 ??????????? 5.34
2007-II ?????? 3.60 ????? (0.42) ??????????? 3.10 ?????? 2.80 ??????? 0.55 ???????????? 3.20 ???????? 6.50 ? ??????0.13 ??????????? 6.40
2007-III ?????? 3.00 ????? (1.55) ??????????? 1.30 ?????? 1.30 ??????? 0.80 ???????????? 2.00 ???????? 4.34 ????? (0.76) ??????????? 3.33
2007-IV ?????? 1.70 ????? (2.22) ????????? (0.50) ?????? 1.90 ??????? 1.98 ???????????? 3.70 ???????? 3.63 ????? (0.28) ??????????? 3.18
2008-I ??? (1.80) ????? (0.38) ????????? (2.10) ?????? 2.50 ??????? 1.76 ???????????? 4.10 ???????? 0.65 ??????? 1.37 ??????????? 1.91
2008-II ?????? 1.30 ????? (2.00) ????????? (0.70) ?????? 2.50 ??????? 2.14 ???????????? 4.50 ???????? 3.83 ??????? 0.10 ??????????? 3.77
2008-III ??? (3.70) ????? (0.79) ????????? (4.20) ?????? 3.10 ??????? 1.10 ???????????? 4.00 ????? (0.71) ??????? 0.30 ???????? (0.37)
2008-IV ??? (8.90) ??????? 0.12 ????????? (8.30) ?????? 0.50 ????? (4.77) ????????? (4.00) ????? (8.44) ????? (4.66) ?????? (11.97)
2009-I ??? (6.70) ????? (2.44) ????????? (8.60) ?????? 1.70 ????? (3.60) ????????? (1.90) ????? (5.11) ????? (5.95) ?????? (10.34)
2009-II ??? (0.70) ????? (2.21) ????????? (2.80) ???? (0.40) ??????? 0.92 ???????????? 0.50 ????? (1.10) ????? (1.31) ???????? (2.31)
2009-III ?????? 1.70 ??????? 0.59 ??????????? 2.20 ?????? 0.30 ??????? 1.37 ???????????? 1.60 ???????? 2.01 ??????? 1.97 ??????????? 3.84
2009-IV ?????? 3.80 ????? (0.15) ??????????? 3.50 ?????? 1.10 ??????? 1.01 ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 4.94 ??????? 0.86 ??????????? 5.67
2010-I ?????? 3.90 ??????? 0.97 ??????????? 4.80 ?????? 1.50 ??????? 0.66 ????????? ???2.10 ???????? 5.46 ??????? 1.64 ??????????? 7.00
2010-II ?????? 3.80 ??????? 1.94 ??????????? 5.60 ?????? 1.50 ????? (0.97) ???????????? 0.50 ???????? 5.36 ??????? 0.95 ??????????? 6.13
2010-III ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.68 ??????????? 3.10 ?????? 1.40 ????? (0.43) ???????????? 1.00 ???????? 3.94 ??????? 0.25 ??????????? 4.13
2010-IV ?????? 2.30 ????? (1.37) ??????????? 0.90 ?????? 1.90 ??????? 0.26 ???????????? 2.10 ???????? 4.24 ????? (1.11) ??????????? 3.02
2011-I ?????? 0.40 ??????? 0.34 ??????????? 0.70 ?????? 2.50 ??????? 1.57 ???????????? 4.00 ???????? 2.91 ??????? 1.92 ??????????? 4.73
2011-II ?????? 1.30 ????? (0.24) ??????????? 1.00 ?????? 2.50 ??????? 0.93 ???????????? 3.30 ???????? 3.83 ??????? 0.69 ??????????? 4.33

Let?s start with the definition of Gross Domestic Purchases, which I think more closely tracks the way average Americans feel than Gross Domestic Product does.

Gross domestic purchases

The market value of goods and services purchased by?U.S. residents, regardless of where those goods and services were produced. It is?gross domestic product (GDP) minus?net exports of goods and services. Equivalently, it is the sum of?personal consumption expenditures (PCE),?gross private domestic investment, and?government consumption expenditures and gross investment.

Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Pretty simple ? GDP minus net exports equals Gross Domestic Purchases.? The trouble is that import price increases increase real GDP relative to real GD purchases.

Note well: IPD stands for implicit price deflator, which is a comprehensive measure of inflation.? Also, figures may not add due to rounding, timing differences, and errors in revisions.

But what I would like to point out from the last three quarters on Gross Domestic Purchases, is that the economy is growing at less than 1%, and inflation is running higher than 3%.

I realize that these could be statistical anomalies, but Gross Domestic Purchases is far closer to what the average American feels than GDP or GNP.? My main point is that we have a slow-growing economy in inflation adjusted terms, while felt inflation is rising.

How Do I Find a Job in Finance? (Part 2)

How Do I Find a Job in Finance? (Part 2)

After yesterday’s piece I received an e-mail and a comment.? I also realized that I want to say more.? Here is the redacted e-mail:

David,

I enjoy reading your blog and your recent post “How Do I Find A Job In Finance?”, was very close to home for me. Before I ask for advice, here’s some background for you:

  • BA in Economics from The XXX University, 2007
  • 4 years working as a Financial Assistant for a financial service firm
  • Currently volunteering with the CFA Society of YYY
  • I am a level III candidate in the CFA program
  • Hold a series 65 license
  • Live in YYY, XXX? not willing to relocate

Since 2009, I’ve had 2 interviews with a sell-side equity research firm, 1 interview with a REIT firm and recently 2 interviews with a buy-side fixed income firm. Each time once I received a rejection notice, I followed up and was told “other experienced candidates” as the reason I was not chosen.?

I’ve put in a lot of time and effort into education and I truly have passion for investing. I read, write and even build research reports (which I share in interviews) and manage my own and family’s portfolios.?

This last rejection really hurt and most of the investment firms in YYY are relatively small. The last two months I’ve found myself losing the faith. Am I following an unrealistic path or is there more I can do I’m not already doing?

Friend, it takes time, particularly if you are in a smallish area financially, and are not willing to relocate.? As for me, it was six years before I got an investment-related job, and twelve years before I was investing professionally.? And that was with two moves.

If you are not willing to relocate, local networking is all the more crucial.? Develop friends and mentors; seek a champion that wants to see you succeed.

And then a comment from yesterday:

David,

The investment management industry is very dysfunctional. This is a major reason why your advice for career changers to consider working on ?projects with dotted-line relationships to the investment function of the company? and to ?look for adjacencies ? jobs that are close to investing? is excellent.

The investment management industry is all about who you know and your pedigree, with an exception for those with their own capital. Getting hired to manage investments is not about what you know or having an above average investment track record, never mind that these are major considerations of investment management clients. The business of investment management is about the marketing sizzle and not the steak.

My own career demonstrates this. I will spare you the gory details, but suffice it to say that even after building an investment track record that is noticeably above average (in large part because I successfully maneuvered through much of both the dot-com and credit busts), earning a CFA, getting along with people, demonstrating ?energy and a willingness to learn?, and following your eminently logical concluding suggestions (?network. Join your local CFA Society; get the credential if you can. Talk with people in investing. Volunteer and show your competence.?), my career has been a struggle and basically did ?return void?.

I feel sorry for both of you.? Much of finding a job is creating a firm that will sell one product once.? To that end, create a team of helpers and advisors that will be a spider-web that will catch a job-fly.

I also have experienced that a good past track record is insufficient to attract a job or clients.? In talking with investment management consultants, they look at my track record and tell me it is impressive, but they don’t hire me because I do things differently than their standard risk model.

Maybe the answer for both of you is to start your own firms, at least in the mornings before work, or the evenings afterward.? If it grows, you might be able to leave your work, and grow your business.

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Also, if you have excellent mathematical skills, there are more doors open to you in finance.? It is usually easier to teach qualitative reasoning to one who is good with math, than to try to teach math to one who is good with qualitative reasoning.? Thus knowledge of the investment math can be another entry point; it can aid risk control and model building.

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I want to reinforce one more time that a person with investment skills can be a benefit to almost any organization that one works at or volunteers for.? Many firms I have worked for, even though I was not in the investment department, benefited from my investment knowledge, because it led to approaches and strategies that were borrowed from other areas of industry.? One with generalist investment skills is the sort of person that can do what the hackneyed phrase asks — think outside the box.? As an actuary, my ability to reason through complex situations and come up with unusual solutions created a lot of value for owners.

You become that person that Munger idealizes.? You have a series of mental models covering different areas of reality, and apply them flexibly to the situation at hand.

That’s what I did for years with my friend who made commercial lawn mowers.? I can’t do what he does; he’s a native engineer who is a genius at design/engineering.? But I could give him advice on how his business was losing money because of a lack of a basic finance function inside his firm.

Even with nonprofits, one with investment skills can add value simply by having the broad knowledge that keeps the organization from being bilked by charlatans. He asks the questions that keep the nonprofit on its mission, while avoiding costly mistakes.

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My life is a work in progress.? I have no idea whether I will gain enough clients to make my firm viable over the next two years, or not.? But even if I fail, and I don’t find work in a traditional asset management business, I still think I will be able to add value to any firm that I work or consult for.? What I know can benefit any firm, and that is true for all of us that have knowledge of investing.

You may not be applying that knowledge as a mutual fund manager does; many markets are far less liquid.? But knowledge of investing turns the technical specialist into a businessman, and makes him far more valuable.

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So, on that front, I turn the question on its head, and say, “How can you use your knowledge of investing to benefit others?”? If you have real investment knowledge, you are one of the adults in the room, protecting the organization from frauds, and managing it for results.

I end this series (for now) by saying that if you have knowledge on investing, you can potentially benefit any organization that you work with — enhancing, protecting, and guiding.? These are no small things, so use your abilities for the good of others, and see what new opportunities come as a result.

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