Sorted Weekly Tweets

  • God gave proverbs to the Jews; Epigrams were of the Romans. Now we do the same through tweets, why do I sense bad omens? #badpoetry Feb 02, 2013




  • One of Warren Buffett’s Greatest Trades Comparing Buffett winding up his partnership to lack of distressed opps now $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • Be Very Afraid When Fear Disappears From Markets Low implied vols, low yields, High Q-ratio & CAPE10 $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • How a $91 million loan on the Marlins ballpark will cost Miami-Dade $1.2B Poway-style debt in Florida $$ cc @munilass Jan 31, 2013
  • Big, Rich, and Wobbly: Wall Street Banks Are Still Sicker Than You Think Mohamed A. El-Erian explains the problems $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • In US Debt We Trust- The Transfer from Private to Public Debt Total debt hasn’t declined much from peak, gov debt up $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Chavez’s 681% Returns Mean Socialism Buoys Goldman Give Chavez credit, at least his country paid what they owed $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • 4 Reasons the Junk Bond Rally Will Continue in 2013 Check my comments. I like this site, but disagree w/the thesis $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Pimco to DoubleLine Leveraging as Yields Retreat Here comes leverage; PIMCO and Doubleline gear up to get returns $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • US Not So High Yield Bonds : “It’s Starting To Feel A Lot Like 2007” More like 2005-6, we need more leverage 4 2007 $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • The US High-Yield Corporate Bond Conundrum & this leads to buybacks & M&A. It all depends on how aggressive it gets $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Investors Pivot Back to Banks Bank bonds are likely safe, the stocks r another matter $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Too Soon to Celebrate for Europe’s Banks Let them deal with the mountains of bad debt & restructure them $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Can anyone tell me why HY loan defaults are up, while HY bond defaults are down? Usually they move in tandem $$ Jan 29, 2013
  • And very few LP CEFs at discounts, which is also true for HY bond CEFs. Preferred funds look a little more promising, but still pricey $$ Jan 29, 2013
  • Looking at bank floating rate closed end funds, a few r at high prems 2 NAV, such that if u bot the trust 2 liquidate would get 0% return $$ Jan 29, 2013




  • Newell Rubbermaid Goes After $127B Health Market Interesting 2c consumer prods comps go after the healthcare mkt $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • Chevron Realigns Its Gas and Midstream Organization Sort of thing u do, prior to splitting co into 2 | FD: + $CVX $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Good 4 refiners $$ US crude oil inventories are well above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year Jan 31, 2013
  • Container Shipping Faces Merger Urge as Money Dries Up Capital-intensive biz is tough when financing not plentiful $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Oh, Full disclosure two tweets ago, I am long Valero, $VLO Jan 30, 2013
  • $ACE ’s Greenberg Asks ‘Why R We Doing Guidance?’ Evan has impressed me after leaving $AIG | Chip off the ol block $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Valero Looking at Rail, Barges to Ship Canadian Crude to Gulf Cheap oil in middle of N. America wants2get2the Gulf $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Singer Chases Icahn With Stake in Cheapest Oil Company Hess Worth reading 2 understand activist investors $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Fund Outflows? Blame the ‘Cliff’ $TROW is a good firm. If anyone should not get fund outflows, they would b one $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Fannie To Allow Walkaways by On-Time Borrowers & so taxpayers will pick up the losses for walkaways on FNMA mtges $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Software Firms Find Tax Advantages A good transfer-pricing accountant is worth his weight in gold. $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Apple Reverse Convertibles: How Brokerage Firms Pervert Everything Don’t buy structured notes. Listen2 @reformedbroker Jan 29, 2013
  • How Apple’s Fall Bit Bondholders, Too Structured notes: Wall St. gives u a small increase in yield & lots more risk $$ Jan 27, 2013


Central Banking


  • Japan’s lessons for America’s budget warriors Think this might be the start of unsterilized monetary policy globally $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • What finally convinced me to sell my long bonds 30 bps lower than now was market’s reaction to the Fed in December. $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • The Fed’s Actions Are Counterproductive If printing $$ or issuing credit could bring prosperity, it would be here now Jan 31, 2013
  • 2 early to celebrate ECB’s balance sheet reduction @soberlook right again: off-Bal Sheet gtees dwarf BS improvement $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Fed Policy Is a Drag on the Economy I have argued the same here: John Taylor 4 Fed Chairman $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Anyone else notice that all FOMC meetings are now 2 days long? Gives them more time to come up with creative errors in monetary policy $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • The Ghosts of 1994 2 things are different now: Fed was hawkish in ’94, few expected prepays 2 decrease so much then $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • What Happened To Markets The Last 15 Times The Fed Tightened… Long article, but instructive on tightenings $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • With Each Central Bank Move, Nations Are Impoverished More Combined actions of Central banks create global infation $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • USD-JPY: Short Term Reversal? – Hara-kiri Japan leads the race to the bottom. Will they stop sterilizing asset buys? $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • There are two things lacking that were present in 1994: a hawkish Fed, and expectations that RMBS prepays… Jan 29, 2013
  • The Unintended Consequences Of The Greatest Economic Experiment The Fed won’t admit it, but it is flying blind $$ Jan 28, 2013


Rest of the World


  • Greek Companies Test Bond Waters as Exit Risks Fade I guess every dog has its day. Sleep w/dogs, wake up w/fleas $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • Best Stock Pickers Trawl Frontier Markets as US Funds Lose When mgrs seek unusual venues 4 investing, risk is up $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • Deutsche Bank Improved Its Capital Ratio By Changing Risk Measures Risk mgmt is easy when you can alter standards $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • Spain’s crisis strategy under fire as economy buckles again The ECB’s Mario Draghi is “itching” 2buy Club Med bonds $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Japan’s Government Proposes First Spending Cut in 7 Years The journey to fiscal sanity begins w/a single cut $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Canadian Mega Housing Bubble Quietly, the average Canadian HH has accumulated more debt than US & UK HHs. Who knew? $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Chinese currency 2 loosen exchange rate: business chief Easier said than done; is China willing 2 absorb volatility $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Scandal of Italy’s Monte Paschi means questions for Draghi Had some reg oversight over Monte dei Paschi solvency $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • The Super Bowl, Chicken Wings and the FED – a Risky Mix ? The Fed has no idea what it is doing, the same as in 2007 $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Why We’re at the End of Cheap China Argues there is more consumption going on in China, hidden in coprporate perks $$ Jan 26, 2013
  • The Biggest Housing Bubble in the World Is in … Canada? Interesting 2c France, Sweden, HK, & Singapore on the list $$ Jan 26, 2013




  • Forget the ‘Rotation’, Here’s the Source of the Money Pouring Into Stocks ~$30B of special dividends get reinvested $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • ML Fund Managers Survey – Jan 2013 Professionals r hedging less equity risk, flexible capital increasingly committed $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • Bill Gross: Be very afraid of the markets Favors: Currencies of creditworthy countries, short bonds, gold, HQ debts $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Whan financial institutions start buying gold as an inflation hedge, only 2 possibilities remain: a top in gold prices, or hyperinflation $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • SP500 Earnings Optimisim : But let’s revise them lower! We should expect actual earnings 2 come in below projections $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Upside Risks @reformedbroker gives us the bull’s case; I’m agnostic on market direction; think long yields will rise $$ Jan 29, 2013


Market Dynamics


  • Goodwill Is Bad News for US Assets Not all goodwill is bad; if it produces extra cash deserves 2b treated as asset $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • It’s the Stocks You Don’t Own That Matter @herbgreenberg talks about new Forensic Accounting ETF $FLAG | Good idea $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Your ETF Owns Too Little Amazon, &Other Index Quirks Float-weighting underweights “owner-operators” which do better $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Asset Allocation & Rebalancing: (Still) Competitive Together Rebalancing global value-weighted index: good strategy $$ Jan 31, 2013


US Economics


  • US GDP Q4 2012 Weaker with a Strong Mix In Q3, few talked about the weak mix, but yes, result better than headline # $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • U.S. Economy Unexpectedly Contracts in Fourth Quarter After getting upside surprises, shouldn’t we get one down? $$ Jan 30, 2013


US Politics


  • US government warns of hack threat 2 network gear Disable feature known as Universal Plug & Play on your network $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • How President Obama Lost His Shirt to John Boehner Interesting argument; not sure it’s correct. Seemed like a tie $$ Jan 28, 2013
  • Women’s Path to Ground Combat Strewn With Obstacles Only the strongest ~5% of women will be able 2b in combat $$ Jan 28, 2013
  • Bipartisan Immigration Plan Counters Republican Orthodoxy Has some chance of passing 4 the 1st time in 6 years $$ Jan 28, 2013




  • Psst…This Is What Your Co-Worker Is Paid I’m not sure this is a good idea. What someone is paid is personal $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Bombarded by Ads, Few Drivers Switch Car Insurer Average ppl have an agent they trust until they get burned $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Backyard Farming Gets Fancy High-End ‘Homesteaders’ Want Pricey, Stylish Tools; The $1,300 Chicken Coop $$ #noway Jan 30, 2013
  • 15-Year-Old Creates Test for Pancreatic Cancer This fellow beat the child of a friend of mine who came in third $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Derivatives trader: ‘The trouble is, regulators are idiots’ In general, true. This is why dumb regulation is better $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Liability Issues Create Potholes on the Road to Driverless Cars If a driverless car has an accident who pays? $$ Jan 28, 2013




  • Wrong:Piracy and Fraud Propelled the US Industrial Revolution Doubt that explains more than 3% of American Success $$ Feb 01, 2013
  • Wrong: Alan Blinder:Everything You Think You Know About the Crisis Is Wrong TARP a failure; encourages moral hazard $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Wrong: Morgan Stanley Buys Argentine Stocks as YPF Deal Lures BlackRock Until expropriation ends, avoid Argentina $$ Jan 31, 2013
  • Wrong: Bitcoin’s Gains May Fuel Central Bank Concerns Chart here: Thin speculative market $$ Jan 28, 2013


Comments & Retweets


  • RT @japhychron: The Real, and Simple, Equation That Killed Wall Street | Guest Blog, Scientific American Blog Network … Feb 02, 2013
  • RT @BankersUmbrella: @AlephBlog …buying on margin at 5y high in NYSE, fund inflows higher than just before techbubble burst, net sales … Feb 01, 2013
  • You can say that again $$ RT @paulnovell: @AlephBlog unless you own an east coast refinery. Mid continent refiners are killing it Jan 31, 2013
  • @GlennBusch I almost moved to Poway to work for the last remaining large life insurer in San Diego; Offer fell through, company failed later Jan 31, 2013
  • @steve13smith So how are you doing at Minyanville & otherwise? Jan 31, 2013
  • @steve13smith Are you my friend from RealMoney days? Good to hear from you. Yes, I signed up on a Wednesday. It’s a useful summary to me. Jan 31, 2013
  • You can say that again RT @credittrader: $SPY vs $VIX – oops – Jan 30, 2013
  • Feels like it to me. RT @StockTwits: Has Value Turned a Corner? via @eddyelfenbein $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • @RossJaklik I don’t market. People ask me to manage their money. They get a clone of how I invest my own money. If that is not legitimate… Jan 30, 2013
  • @RossJaklik @faithmight @abnormalreturns In order to receive fees for investing OPM, you must pass the regulatory hurdles Jan 30, 2013
  • @RossJaklik @faithmight @abnormalreturns And to manage OPM legitimately, u have to start a firm like $TROW $LM $JNS $BEN $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • @wesbury @cabaum1 I want to get rid of the neoclassical economics monoculture at the Fed, & replace w/Actuaries & Value Investors $$ #dreams Jan 30, 2013
  • @prchovanec Enjoy it, friend. I have 8 kids, 5 adopted. Every age is fun, & has sorrows. Enjoy your kids while u can; they grow up fast $$ Jan 30, 2013
  • Little kids r so cute $$ RT @prchovanec: 3-year-old son William on new twin baby sisters: “Can they talk? What did they say?” Jan 30, 2013
  • Thanks, have ~3 more to go $$ RT @BarbarianCap: Great “101-level” series in the last few days on insurance investing over on @AlephBlog #ff Jan 30, 2013
  • +2 RT @niubi: “@prchovanec: Twin baby girls Alice and Rachel Chovanec born at Amcare hospital in Beijing at 6:45am this morning!” Congrats Jan 30, 2013
  • premiums r so migh my nose is bleeding! $$ The RT @groditi: HY and Levered Loan CEF discount snapshot Jan 29, 2013
  • “You are not going to get as much from me, then. Not going 2 use Stocktwits as my Twitter client.” — David_Merkel $$ Jan 29, 2013
  • +1 RT @allstarcharts: Here is one chart that bothers me: $IWM vs $DJIA spread peaked weeks ago as $SPY makes new highs Jan 29, 2013
  • @aenbrnood @GuldbergPeter I think both of your ideas have merit, thanks Jan 29, 2013
  • “”As for the part of the budget that won’t take care of itself, President Obama fought an ugly and…” — David_Merkel $$ Jan 29, 2013
  • @prchovanec Leverage at each point in the chain of lending amplifies the impact of dodgy nonbank lending, esp when loans r short-dated Jan 29, 2013
  • A weakness in investment grade bonds RT @Convertbond: $DELL 5 Year CDS, Lesson on what an LBO can do to a credit.. $$ Jan 28, 2013
  • @Danny_5079 That covenant is only common with junk bonds, though a few BBB bonds have it. That’s all. Jan 28, 2013
  • @Danny_5079 via arbitrage. Should have no effect on the deal, unless the bonds had a covenant requiring buying the bonds @ 101% in a buyout Jan 28, 2013
  • @Danny_5079 of the company & its pre-existing debt, thus leading to a decline in the value of debt, raising yield spreads. CDS reacts to it Jan 28, 2013
  • @Danny_5079 In a buyout debt is issued to finance the purchase that is equal or senior in terms of claim priority, reducing creditworthiness Jan 28, 2013
  • “They have to lure retail back in before the next bear…” — David_Merkel Jan 27, 2013
  • “If the risk parity players r still levered long credit, then they r the CDO equity of this cycle. End will b ugly” $$ Jan 26, 2013
  • My problem is this: we have a dysfunctional credit market where yields are too low, and protections are… Jan 26, 2013


  • My week on twitter: 46 retweets received, 7 new listings, 87 new followers, 32 mentions. Via: Jan 31, 2013