Category Archives: Stocks

Like a Cardinal, The Price Action Will Be Red

Okay, let’s roll the promoted stocks scoreboard: Ticker Date of Article Price @ Article Price @ 1/20/15 Decline Annualized Dead? GTXO 5/27/2008 2.45 0.011 -99.6% -55.6% BONZ 10/22/2009 0.35 0.000 -99.9% -72.5% BONU 10/22/2009 0.89 0.000 -100.0% -82.3% UTOG 3/30/2011 1.55 0.000 -100.0% -92.0% Dead OBJE 4/29/2011 116.00 0.069 -99.9% -86.3% Dead LSTG 10/5/2011 1.12 […]

Living in the Land of Worries, Part 1

There is always a reason to worry, and always enough time to panic. Look over there, behind that bush: interest rates are rising. In Europe and China, deflation is threatening. The geopolitical situation is in many ways tense over Russia and Middle East issues. Japan is a mess. Emerging markets will get hit when the […]

Out and About with The Aleph Blog

1. Recently I appeared on RT Boom/Bust again.  The interview lasts 6+ minutes.  Erin Ade and I discussed: Who benefits from lower energy prices. The No-Lose Line for owning bonds, Whether you are compensated for inflation risks in long bonds How much an average person should invest in stocks with any assets that they have […]

Have Your Cake, Eat It Too, And End Up With Only Crumbs

Beware when the geniuses show up in finance. “I can make your money work harder!” some may say, and the simple-minded say, “Make the money sweat, man!  We have retirements to fund, and precious little time to do it!” Those that have read me for a while will know that I am an advocate for […]

Problems in Simulating Investment Returns

Simulating hypothetical future investment returns can be important for investors trying to make decisions regarding the riskiness of various investing strategies.  The trouble is that it is difficult to do right, and I rarely see it done right.  Here are some of the trouble spots: 1) You need to get the correlations right across assets. […]