David Merkel

At my blog there are two main purposes: teaching investors about better investing through risk control, and tying all of the markets into a coherent whole.

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  • Recent Comments:

    • AllanF: You let your relatively few losers run too long. Does that follow from the graphs? Yeah a few really stunk up...
    • Cody Willard: David, I am another faithful and thankful reader of yours. I learn and think so much as a result of...
    • Andy Reyburn: Agree. Also, small note: You let your relatively few losers run too long. -Andy
    • TheWord: Everyone’s a genius investor during good times. What’s you average return in a...
    • Bill aka NO DooDahs!: And the portfolio total annualized returns for 1, 2, 3, 5, and 7 years are? That analysis would...
    • Greg: I think F meant LCM(n1,n2) * GCF(n1,n2) = n1 * n2. Just a typo - I was confused by the “GCM”.
    • Moise Levi: Great article, I now understand why “I blog too” :)
    • Brian: This is the worst article I’ve read today.
    • Frank M: David - we readers owe you a debt of gratitude, whatever your motivation for blogging. And obviously...
    • St Louis Missouri: History always repeats itself.. and like any other cycle we will swing back up, but only after...
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    Major Article List

    This page is a list of all of my “core articles” if you want to understand my thought processes. It has been culled from my work at RealMoney.com, Alephblog.com, and occasionally elsewhere.

    Portfolio Management

    Evolution of an Investment Style
    Evolution of a Value Investor’s Portfolio
    Investing Is About the Whole Portfolio
    Become a Smarter Seller, Part 1
    Become a Smarter Seller, Part 2

    Follow These Signposts in 2007
    My Calls Scorecard for 2006
    Investing Is Still About the Whole Portfolio — 2006 Review
    The Long and Short of Trend Investing
    A Value Investor’s Plan for 2006
    Why I Don’t Like Preferred Stock
    What Excess Cash Is Really Worth
    In Defense of Cyclicals, Part 1
    In Defense of Cyclicals, Part 2
    Valuing Financial Slack in the Steel Sector
    Some Concrete Ideas for Your Portfolio

    Nonlinear Dynamics and Markets

    The Fundamentals of Market Tops
    Managing Liability Affects Stocks, Pt. 1
    Separating Weak Holders From the Strong
    Get to Know the Holders’ Hands, Part 1
    Get to Know the Holders’ Hands, Part 2

    On Investment Advice

    Using Investment Advice, Part 1
    Using Investment Advice, Part 2
    Using Investment Advice, Part 3
    Tread Warily on Media Stock Tips

    Real Estate

    Wrecking Ball Looms for Big Housing Spec
    Real Estate’s Top Looms

    Insurance & Financial Companies

    Time to Get Personal With Insurers
    Parsing the Financials of the Financials
    Buyers Beware: Financials are Different
    Snarls in Insurance Investigation, Part 1
    Snarls in Insurance Investigation, Part 2
    Wait to Sic Feds on Insurance Industry
    Don’t Bet Your Life on the Insurance Sector
    Playing the Cycles in the Insurance Sector

    How Wall Street Looks at Insurance Companies(not at RealMoney)

    Academic Finance


    Kiss the Equity Premium Goodbye
    What Makes Analysts Cover Stocks
    Avoid the Dangers of Data-Mining, Part 2
    Avoid the Dangers of Data-Mining, Part 1

    Bonds

    Look Inside My Bonds Playbook
    Ask Our Pros: Take the Easy Road With Bonds
    GM, Ford Can Access Short-Term Cash
    No Need to Panic About Bonds
    Changes in Corporate Bonds, Part 1
    Changes in Corporate Bonds, Part 2
    Two Ways to Analyze Corporate Bonds

    Personal Finance and Pensions

    Flat Curve Pinches 401(k)s
    Pensions: Things Can Always Be Worse

    Accounting Changes Could Crimp Yields
    A Look at International Accounting Proposals
    The Biggest Asset Class You Never Heard Of
    Life Insurance: A Bet You Don’t Want to Win
    The Pros and Cons of Buying Annuities

    Derivatives

    The Correlation Trade Gone Wrong

    Macroeconomics

    Managing the Aging Population
    Many Hedge Funds Chasing Few Dollars
    The Unhidden Costs of Sarbanes-Oxley
    Implications of a Low-Nominal World
    The Economy, Seen From Many Angles
    When Foreign Central Banks Diversify
    Solid Foundation for Inflation Fears

    Policy

    Sarbanes-Oxley and the Law of Unintended Consequences
    ‘Someone Else’ May Restart Board Reform
    A Modest Proposal for the Mutual Fund Industry