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With regard to equity market performance, I am torn.? My head says, “Go with the momentum. Broad rally here.”? My heart says, “Profit margins will be at records with the 2011 earnings estimates; aim for industries that are out of favor.”
If I try to unify the two, I remain convinced that high quality companies are the better place to be — better valuations and far less risk.
In any case, I am looking at modifying my portfolio, and the industries that interest me fall into energy, utilities, healthcare, and stable sectors.
Note for my first model, the green zone is the anti-momentum or value zone.? The red zone is the momentum zone.
Use the model consistent with your personality.? If you like buying mean-reversion buy in the green zone.? Momentum, buy the red zone.
My selections in “Dig Through” reflect higher quality areas of the market that I think will be rewarded over time.? Remember that I am for outperformance over a three-year period, though I have often done that over shorter periods.
The second industry table comes from the S&P 1500 supercomposite, while the first comes from Value Line.? The results are broadly similar.? Still, at this point in the markets, I am more inclined to caution than risk-taking.? I feel that it is 10% upside and 30% downside here.
These are only educated guesses, but as I readjust my portfolio, I sense that I will toss out cyclicality, and buy utilities and other stable? companies.
What is the best place to find a list of companies in each of the sectors in the “Dig Through” list? Thank you for the breakdown.
Periodotic: Value Line — the categories come from Value Line
Does value line show the companies that are in those categories?
Those categories are unique to Value Line