Category: Blog News

Sorted Recent Tweets

Sorted Recent Tweets

Trying a new format here, I think readers will like it better.? Most things are better after additional effort.? Think of this as a news links by subject post.

Economics

  • If you look in the back, it seems that there were 58 respondents. From page 13: Methodology & Panel Selection Invi? http://t.co/p8sVZl9g Feb 06, 2012
  • Will the great interest rate gamble pay off? http://t.co/hgj5XSKc People want to believe that you can get something for nothing; ain’t true. Feb 05, 2012
  • Central Planning at the Federal Reserve http://t.co/X8qmqU6C Fed: we can create prosperity by holding interest rates down, right? $$ #wishes Feb 05, 2012
  • Labor Force Participation Rate: 28-year Low http://t.co/kLgQ61iK Everyone still happy about the lower unemployment rate? $$ Feb 05, 2012
  • Bill Gross: Free Money Ain?t Really Free http://t.co/LXWxpxp5 It will lead to stagflation, IMO, depending on what fiscal policy does $$ Feb 05, 2012
  • Life & Death Proposition http://t.co/XuZS5Snn Where does credit go when it dies? Back where it came. It delevers, slows & inhibits ec growth Feb 02, 2012
  • US unemployment ?progress? http://t.co/WoIVZPGp If you add back the discoraged workers, all of the improvement in U-3 goes away $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • The Perniciousness of ZIRP http://t.co/dYlFMbLe Gonzalo Lira on how ZIRP loses effectiveness b/c people think it’ll b there a long time $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Why Neoclassical Economics Doesn’t Work In The Age Of Deleveraging http://t.co/D3IAhTyv Steve Keen explains y Krugman & others r wrong $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Warning: Goat Rodeo http://t.co/JQ2FV9LS Hussman makes his case that equities are overvalued and could pull back 25% $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Who Owns World’s Financial Assets? & Why R US Households So Fascinated W/Stocks? http://t.co/5rp52OM4 American Exceptionalism in investing Feb 01, 2012
  • As an aside, that is one reason why the US net foreign debt hasn’t spiraled up. We own equities abroad & they own our debt. $$ declines + Feb 01, 2012
  • $$ declines reduce the value of our debts, but not the value of r foreign holdings. I think the US will come out of this crisis rel well $$ Feb 01, 2012

 

Housing

  • Home Prices Tumble http://t.co/N1gdNslr No surprise here with all of the dark supply; houses come onto mkt when ppl can bear loss $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Too lazy to be knowns http://t.co/flXRR6fM I know many who understood what would happen if home RE prices fell, but none who got the size $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Freddie Mac’s “inverse floater” allowed more loan origination http://t.co/5devKZ17 Other side to the Propublica story http://t.co/KjXJHU1x Feb 01, 2012
  • I’m no fan of the GSEs; I think they should be abolished, but the GSEs have always made a variety of bets on prepayment over time. $$ Feb 01, 2012

 

International

  • On China, Henry Kissinger and Fareed Zakaria see Domestic Tension and Risk of Geopolitical Conflict http://t.co/1bhvrI3U Ferguson is wrong. Feb 05, 2012
  • Tightening lending standards vary materially across the Eurozone http://t.co/ciWUK9cm Conditions tight in Italy & France, but not Germany $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • Japan Auto Sales Notch Record Jump http://t.co/0VzF4WST Another small bright spot. Of course, bouncing back from a low level $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • Socialist Hollande, Who Wants Full European Treaty Renegotiation, Increases Lead Over Sarkozy http://t.co/J3qCpZZ3 Eurozone Wild Card $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Hong Kong Homes Face 25% Drop as Loans Fall in Year of Dragon http://t.co/ifg1146H And this is with wealthy mainlanders fleeing China. $$ Feb 01, 2012

 

Markets

  • RBC Takes On High Frequency Predators http://t.co/MfA5qdxm Where there is offense, there will b defense; nothing goes unanswered in the mkts Feb 05, 2012
  • Global Strategists Abandoning Bearish Views http://t.co/dOXCUMA7 Makes me think we r getting close to a turning point. Feb 02, 2012
  • Dividend stocks: Buyer beware http://t.co/SvMCHtCj Makes the valid & missed point: high qual div paying stocks r stocks & can lose $$ #yeah Feb 01, 2012

 

Credit

  • 6 High-Yield Canaries-in-the-Coalmine http://t.co/4pz6SSQc 6 reasons y high yield is overheated http://t.co/fKnHmBqD & http://t.co/UPVev0iD Feb 02, 2012
  • QOTD: Regulators Watching Aggressive Yield Chasing http://t.co/iWimo3eg FINRA warns of undue risk in income seeking. Advisors take note $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • Contra: The Safest 7% Yield in America http://t.co/VrXoLEFH Poor analysis does not take into account the highish leverage on mtge repo $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • Shipping Loans Go Bad for European Banks http://t.co/y5Z0wt3R Highly glutted area w/many dead firms walking; how far down will the losses go Feb 02, 2012

 

 

Politics

  • Group lists top stock investments by members of Congress http://t.co/CarxUCjS Top 50 hldgs -> in top 100 cos by mkt cap. Hard2manipulate $$ Feb 05, 2012
  • Obama Re-Election Odds Versus the Stock Market http://t.co/F5EETcve Example of 2 variables that r correlated b/c they anticipate GDP changes Feb 05, 2012
  • RE: @abnormalreturns Gold is mostly political philosophy. How much control do you want the government to have over mo? http://t.co/hRxIkaoo Feb 03, 2012
  • Getting back to the gold standard http://t.co/pCk8Ij6j Gingrich & Ron Paul have said they would like to appoint James Grant as Fed Chairman Feb 02, 2012

 

Companies

  • Carlyle’s proposed IPO disaster http://t.co/OqGke8eN So there’s no board. Most boards don’t do much. Mgmt will have no board 2 shield them Feb 05, 2012
  • For These Fans, a Day With Buffett Offers Wealth of Photo Opportunities http://t.co/UpcwVKe7 I think Buffett is enjoying life more now. Feb 05, 2012
  • Buffett Railroad Boosts Capital Plan to $3.9B http://t.co/9XEw2gyT Buffett changes; organic investment in capital-intensive biz $$ #olddog Feb 01, 2012
  • Pep Boys Seen Gaining 27% as Cheapest Value Lures Bids http://t.co/GyfH7qRL Could a bidding war start? Company is undermanaged $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Jefferies Allows Bonus Recipients to Swap Stock 4 Cash With 25% Discount http://t.co/pfGB3Vmc Fair way2 let employees disconnect from $JEF Feb 01, 2012

 

Financial Services

  • I’ve just started “Acts of God and Man,” by Michael Powers. In the intro, he goes through the various meanings of th? http://t.co/tX7uAlWl Feb 05, 2012
  • When evaluating Investment Funds, use Dollar-weighted Returns http://t.co/N5g7PI0d This is a neglcted concept that is enjoying a rebirth $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • After a Delay, MF Global?s Missing Money Is Traced http://t.co/4s6U8yOe Investigation moves to how to recover the $$ and who is at fault. Feb 01, 2012
  • http://t.co/wBbJTe3D FINRA Alert: Do you use complex products? What additional work do you do 2 assure that they are being used properly? $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • Banks Need Higher Interest Rates to Start Making Money http://t.co/SneRACCi Flat front end of yield curve squishes bank interest margins $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • 401(k) Plans Step Into the Sunshine http://t.co/fvKeup2L But as with DB plans, as costs rise, companies will offer them less. $$ Jan 31, 2012

 

Value Investing

  • The SEC’s “90% Convergence” Fantasy http://t.co/bkWaAS5S US GAAP has many flaws, but we know them. IFRS will introduce abusable flexibility Feb 02, 2012
  • But on the bright side, value investors may do relatively better as financials become less trustworthy; the accruals anomaly will sing $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • Need to consider (Cost of goods sold)/user $$ RT @ErikSchatzker: Facebook gets $4.39/yr of revenue per user. ESPN gets $4.69/mo. Feb 02, 2012
  • Berkowitz: Fund Plunge ?Makes Little Sense? http://t.co/pcoPLahW BB, appoint someone in your group 2 seek out opinions contrary 2 yours $$ Feb 01, 2012
  • @ADayforRabbit I have argued in the past that BB is not paying attention to the delevering, which is a real headwind for the banks. $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • New Fund Hopes to Prove Outspoken Analyst?s Thesis http://t.co/cuVpRzvO I bet @rcwhalen does well like my friends @ Hovde or M3 Partners $$ Feb 01, 2012

 

Hedge Funds

  • Are Hedge Funds Worthwhile Investments? http://t.co/Lw2EhRPr Yet another “Hedge Fund Mirage” citation; the book is having a lot of influence Feb 02, 2012
  • Are the hedge fund and private equity boys pulling a fast one? http://t.co/TNXFJo62 Beginning 2c the args of “Hedge Fund Mirage” everywhere Feb 02, 2012
  • Did Hedge Funds Trigger the Financial Crisis? http://t.co/lNIb2dgF Secured asset classes can be overlevered; when they collapse, big mess $$ Feb 01, 2012

 

Miscellaneous

  • Do the Job You’re Meant to Do http://t.co/wR3OX20N LIfe is too short to work with people you don’t respect, or tasks unfit for you $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • Millionaire adopts girlfriend as daughter http://t.co/zffGCWbu Asset shelter. Does incest rely on consanguinity or on legal relationship? Feb 02, 2012
  • Charles Murray Reiterates Willpower http://t.co/smeXZKNh Lack of self-control can destroy relationships, jobs, firms & lives $$ Feb 02, 2012
  • I ran into @twitalyzer today. Lots of interesting analytics for tweeting. Here are some for me: http://t.co/HDdcFYaU & http://t.co/8uFFOMuP Feb 01, 2012
  • At the first blogger summit at the UST, I recommended to the powers that be that they issue floaters. I also recommen? http://t.co/R3U8OHSi Feb 01, 2012
  • California Faces Cash Shortfall by March on Low Receipts, Controller Says http://t.co/QxH1a6Re Could be interesting given the elections $$ Feb 01, 2012
A Book on Value Investing

A Book on Value Investing

A medium-sized publisher has approached me to write a book on value investing.? I might do it, or I might not.? I also might try to do it with another publisher, or I might do it through Amazon.? I solicit advice from my readers on the prospect.

Anyway, I thought about what the book might look like, and to do so, I went through the entirety of my Value Investing category, and my page called Major Article List,? which described my best articles from my RealMoney days.

What you will see after this is less than a first draft of chapters.? I plan on categorizing it and simplifying, but here it is for now:

  1. Bonds
  2. Use of cash ? buybacks, dividends, strategic use, delay
  3. Valuation
  4. Cycles
  5. On being wrong ? planning for failure
  6. On financial companies
  7. Growth expectations
  8. Following leaders vs surfacing your own ideas; who are you playing with/against?
  9. Weighing vs Voting
  10. Use of free cash by management
  11. Avoid buggy whips
  12. Industry analysis and economic sensitivity
  13. Embrace trends, resist trends
  14. Take prudent risks
  15. Three year horizon
  16. Understand balance sheets; quality, anomalies
  17. Management incentives
  18. Discipline: tie your hands, do something, but don?t react; you are you own worst enemy
  19. Risks, not risk
  20. Markets are mostly, but not entirely efficient
  21. Margin of safety
  22. Diversify, but not too much
  23. Safe assets and Risk assets
  24. Avoid complexity; embrace complexity
  25. Sum of the parts
  26. Realistic expectations
  27. On shorting
  28. Ask the opposite question
  29. Rank your ideas
  30. No, macroeconomics *does* matter

This could be one, two or three books depending on me and the goals of the publisher.? As I read through my blog, I realized that I wrote a lot more about value investing at the beginning of this blog.? I think the crisis caused me to shift.

But as I went through what the book could look like, I got more excited about it — there is a lot of potential here to explain value investing in a comprehensive? way to readers.

PS — Any publisher contacts that you want to share are appreciated.? Thanks to those who have given me advice so far.

Recent Tweets

Recent Tweets

  • Probable RT @moorehn: Because I’m pretty sure John Reed was super-excited to bust Glass-Steagall until Sandy Weill outsmarted him. Jan 31, 2012
  • RE: @finadd I think the US has two possible ways out with $AIG. Take control, break it up, and auction off the piece? http://t.co/RjjxqMpG Jan 31, 2012
  • Modern version of the Roman Empire: the Greeks resume their role as slaves; sadly, they don’t regain their position as intellectuals $$ 😉 Jan 30, 2012
  • Germany Wants Veto Power Over Greek Budgets http://t.co/7PmugGmy “odds would favor Greek politicians rebuffing Merkel?s power move” $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Corporate cash hoard screams ‘buy’ for investors http://t.co/mVtjHeey Not so. Large amounts of excess cash rarely get used well $$ #paydivs Jan 30, 2012
  • Why Tech Stocks Look Better?Even 4 the Risk Averse http://t.co/HOA9QqIX Valuation, Volatility, Financial strength & Low expectations $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Spanair Collapse Puts Europe?s State Airlines on Alert http://t.co/XGrgHnbt Too much capacity & govts strapped, can’t bail them out $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Greek Debt Talks Risk Derailing EU Summit Plan http://t.co/7B83ydbn Any relief will b temp; how much sovereignty r they willing to lose $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Are Pension Forecasts Way Too Sunny? http://t.co/J9NLBgl9 They assume the weather of Hawaii while their clients live in Alaska. $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Weaning Off ‘Alternative’ Investments http://t.co/kbViW06T Alternative became faddish & overused, now SC pensions reduces exposure $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • The Coming Tech-led Boom http://t.co/upoH7PoK Overly optimistic in my opinion, but does give a decent feel for where growth may come $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Just Too Much Money http://t.co/QBltc7em Tough for companies to use a lot excess cash wisely, so valuation suffers. $$ #paydividends Jan 30, 2012
  • Money From MF Global Feared Gone http://t.co/iflSoXDJ Saying the money is gone isn’t news; acctg is double entry, this can be tracked $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • The fundamentals behind strong HY fund flows http://t.co/MUMwnX7J There seems to be a lot of retail money chasing yield at present $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Thanks, James, I’ll give it serious thought, as I have been approached to write a book on Value Investing. http://t.co/D0J7puh3 Jan 30, 2012
  • Time to ride the commodity bull http://t.co/Awnruk2F I’m less certain here, this looks like a rally by specs, not from end-user demand $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Hedge Funds Lift Bets to Two-Month High as Rally Accelerates: Commodities http://t.co/HuPyLVV7 Interest coming from specs, not hedgers $$ Jan 30, 2012
  • Living In A QE World http://t.co/HIqfrZp5 The degree to which central banks around the world are printing money is unprecedented. $$ Jan 29, 2012
  • I get a special enjoyment out of cutting up an AARP card after they mail one to me or my wife. I do not agree with the intergenerational war Jan 29, 2012
  • Yes! RT @Convertbond: There’s only one @rcwhalen must follow Jan 29, 2012
  • Francis Fukuyama on the Financial Crisis http://t.co/3WaRPv66 Five good books on the crisis; I’ve read 3 of them. Well-done Q&A. $$ Jan 29, 2012
  • Amazon’s Hit Man http://t.co/mBzIFjGb Larry Kirshbaum was the ultimate book industry insider?until $AMZN called. Industry disruption here. Jan 29, 2012
  • Taking Your Pension Private http://t.co/1lwRZSHG Consistent cash flow & want to shelter a lot of $$ from taxes? Set up your own DB plan. Jan 29, 2012
  • Inflation and the central banks? new paradigm http://t.co/C6kM8rTG Base money eventually turns into price inflation after 5-10 years $$ Jan 29, 2012
  • Two articles from the Economist on Private Equity http://t.co/sOCGpsB2 & http://t.co/4ldGEIbT Returns r not high 4 current vintages $$ Jan 29, 2012
  • What You Can Learn From Mitt’s Tax Return http://t.co/0ODXKrLX Clever tax planning, plus playing it conservative to avoid audits $$ Jan 29, 2012
  • Sumup Yr Inv Philosophy 10 Words? http://t.co/EOntUSQT Margin of Safety. Understand Industries. Analyze Cashflow. Buy Quality. Rebalance Jan 27, 2012
  • A Wave of Sovereign Debt Defaults and High Inflation Would be Normal, suggest research from Rogoff and Reinhart http://t.co/2Ot0ExaA Wow $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • A less opaque Fed will become boring http://t.co/Ul8sA3Jn Reads like the author wants to do Bernanke’s authorized biography $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • The End of Japanese Mercantilism http://t.co/KKpGsCHR Ends not with a bang but a whimper. But will it be the same for China? $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • Investors Abandoning Copper, Cotton, Crude http://t.co/gFXJ6LeG Often after price peaks, volumes reduce, specs don’t have one-way bet $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • Greek Debt Wrangle May Pull Default Trigger http://t.co/XwNISUaH Collective Action Clause may allow CDS 2 trigger, avoids outright default Jan 27, 2012
  • New York Times Co. Faces Leadership Vacuum http://t.co/WT2c6m5y $NYT core business has continued margin pressure from loss of ad revenues Jan 27, 2012
  • Maybe the trading robots hit a feedback loop. http://t.co/tFCcFi6l Jan 27, 2012
  • Words Not Spoken in Obama State of Union Address Speak Volumes, Too http://t.co/Tghox7qE Education, Public Pensions, Entitlements, Fgn pol Jan 27, 2012
  • Smurfs Get Caught Short as $JAKK Toy Takeover Seen 4 20% Less http://t.co/3aladAYA @reformedbroker: Smurf Alert & profitability stinks $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • Innovate Without Mercy Is Lesson of RIM http://t.co/tcF4AL0a Engage in creative destruction of your own company, or someone else will $$ Jan 27, 2012
Post 1700

Post 1700

Every 100 posts, I breathe a deep breath and try to catch up on where we have been.? It’s not always easy for me; I write about so many different issues, and I shift in response to changes in the markets.

So, where have we been?

In the long run, I think willingness to cover a wide number of investing issues is an advantage my blog has, though if I were in the shoes of my readers, perhaps I would want more predictability.? Not all of my articles interest all of my readers.

And, sometimes I write stuff that angers others.? That’s not my intent.? That happens every now and then because I write about controversial topics that are currently disputed.? I don’t aim for this sort of thing.? I could write a blog that always focuses on the crisis — many blogs do that, good for them, but I want have a broader range of expression.? There is danger, but there is also opportunity.? Both need to be written about.

After all, what if things go right, even if it is not due to government policy, but in spite of it?? We need to be open-minded enough to accept and understand when something good is happening.

So, I try to write about a wide number of things that interest people who care about economics, finance, and investing.? I would rather be a teacher than a tout.? I do not enjoy articles that tout stocks.? I assume by now that my readership is that way as well.

In the next few months, a website for my business, Aleph Investments, LLC, should be operational.? I will let you know when it is up, but people wanting information about what I do in investing can simply e-mail me here.

Thanks to all who read me.? I appreciate that you take your time to read what I write.? I personally know that my writings are not all stellar, and so I thank for bearing with stuff that is drivel.? Drivel is not my goal, but if you want to write 5-7 times a week, you will write some drivel.

Constructive criticism is invited here, as well as advice on what areas you would like me to cover.? Let me know, and I will factor it in.? May the LORD bless us all in 2012.

Recent Tweets

Recent Tweets

  • Stinks RT @s_m_i: RT @hedgefundinvest: RT @financialpost: Twitter to censor content in some countries http://t.co/zhnzV1Qo Jan 27, 2012
  • When the Reps win, wants 2b FedChair RT @pdacosta: Fed activism harms US growth, former Fed board governor Warsh says http://t.co/Tht5YyHi Jan 27, 2012
  • I’m different. I gained my net worth little by little through investing, and have kept it. My wife is glad she married me, and not my friend Jan 27, 2012
  • that I made to him in March 2009, with stock conversion rights. Many entrepreneurs r this way; they are not geared to preserving wealth. $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • An example: I have a friend who is presently very wealthy. He has nearly gone broke four times in the last decade. Pays me 13% on a loan + Jan 27, 2012
  • Angry about inequality? Don?t blame the rich. http://t.co/CV0GE1Gg Being rich is more fluid than most think. Rise fast, fall fast 4 many $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • Apple’s Dirt-Cheap Stock and the Fiduciary Theory of the Firm http://t.co/DtV2kK7P Me: Risk of tech obsolesence & mkt saturation -> low PE Jan 27, 2012
  • @Nonrelatedsense That’s funny. I didn’t see that because my browser blocks pop-ups. Jan 27, 2012
  • The chase for yield is on http://t.co/ISJ6MmLx High yield market looks a little frothy now. 73% of all HY CEFs trade at a premium to NAV. $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • Risk Bites Back: Lessons Learned From The Harvard Endowment http://t.co/Ch4s7jbP Similar to my article: http://t.co/Ycu95PCU Guard liquidity Jan 27, 2012
  • At minimum, desirable asset classes must be chosen and given weights. Then adjustment strategy; rebalance vs momentum. These invlv forecasts Jan 27, 2012
  • Tactical Management and Flawed Forecasting http://t.co/2VWePjbf All asset allocation implicitly involves a forecast. Jan 27, 2012
  • US Sovereign Debt Tipping Point Scenarios, Symposium by George Mason University http://t.co/QDFe1BJP 5 scenarios, but I can think of more $$ Jan 27, 2012
  • Tin Gains as Prospect of Low Fed Rates Boosts Speculation of Higher Demand http://t.co/zYYQXHVM I think the correlation is rather tenuous Jan 27, 2012
  • The GOP Goes MAD http://t.co/F7CoZQBl The candidates go thermonuclear, but the party itself may get hit. Lotta mudslinging going on $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • @groditi Yes, and Vale tried to strike some deal w/the Chinese to lessen the pain, and the Chinese stiffed them Jan 26, 2012
  • New Jersey Pensions Earn 1.7% in 2011 http://t.co/8vHP7Ok7 Add in the effects of low interest rates & funding levels fall considerably $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • One Third of New Yorkers Can?t Retire http://t.co/o8VFsw2v This is not news; a lot of people did not plan well, compounded w/no interest Jan 26, 2012
  • Merkel Masters Markets With Euro Austerity Mollifying Investors http://t.co/DSrJaAFZ She seems to be getting her way, bit by bit $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • Gingrich Attacks Romney Over Swiss Account http://t.co/AXzEC9ij Populism is a dangerous thing to swallow; read the warning label first $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • The squeeze on dollar funding in the Eurozone continues http://t.co/BZxSdJOc Will probably continue the demand for USD swap lines by ECB $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • US Banks Face Pressure on Margins From Fed Policy http://t.co/yzXGroUm Flat front end of yield curve steadily crushes interest margins $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • No Slower Steaming as Container Lines Run Like Clippers http://t.co/N9G7Ltgu This one made me pause. The shipping glut has funny effects Jan 26, 2012
  • Deteriorating employment situation in France http://t.co/EuTX0Go0 A clear sign of deteriorating economic conditions in the E-Zone as a whole Jan 26, 2012
  • Uralkali Ready to Cut Potash Output to Shield Price http://t.co/yqPjHQEZ Potash producers cutting production globally; can’t b good 4 Agri Jan 26, 2012
  • ?Stop-Newt? Republicans Confront New Base http://t.co/UZEdELQr This ain’t your Father’s Republican Party. Less of a party more of a fracas Jan 26, 2012
  • The Real Margaret Thatcher Story http://t.co/Ul6dyr3N “Lesson: governments cannot permanently live beyond their means had been learned.” Jan 26, 2012
  • More Drones, Fewer Troops http://t.co/D94fBRsm This doesn’t look smart to me, & makes America look like more of a empire than it is. $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • @The_Analyst After Great Depression the Flubs were established by the Flub Act of 1932 – provide funds 2 “building and loan” institutions $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • Egypt Bans LaHood, Other Americans From Leaving http://t.co/SVz5DBAn Military alleges foreign nationals are sowing dissent among masses Jan 26, 2012
  • Banks Hoarding ECB Cash to Double Company Defaults http://t.co/TPPvb33z European companies needing liquidity are not getting it from banks Jan 26, 2012
  • Ron Paul, the Fed and the Need for a Stable Dollar http://t.co/fwTrW2B3 Fed policy hurts savers aids government. Policy stability needed Jan 26, 2012
  • 2 bright ladies who know bonds RT @cabaum1: I’ll be opining on Fed folderol w/ my pal @Kathleen_Hays on WBBR’s Hays Advantage @12:45pm today Jan 26, 2012
  • @munilass It’s been fun 4 us. I hope u have an even better time of it. Jan 26, 2012
  • @munilass My wife says that u forget the pain w/the joy of the child. We also have 5 adopted kids; youngest turns 10 soon. Life changes fast Jan 26, 2012
  • @munilass My sympathies. Having a baby is wonderous, though I always pitied my wife during her 3 deliveries. Hope it goes well for u & baby. Jan 26, 2012
  • @SoberLook Thanks. Appreciate your blog. Jan 26, 2012
  • @interfluidity Thanks. Many thanks. Jan 26, 2012
  • @interfluidity Thanks, I appreciate it. I always wonder at myself when I get too hard. Jan 26, 2012
  • @interfluidity Thanks. I am not trying to beat up on Bernanke, as much as trying to point out the inconsistencies involved in his policies. Jan 26, 2012
  • @PlanMaestro Not sure, I am imitating @HistorySquared, who I appreciate. Aside from that, a number of readers asked for it. $$ Jan 26, 2012
Recent Tweets

Recent Tweets

  • @The_Analyst does Hempton do Twitter? Bright guy. Jan 26, 2012
  • RE: @SoberLook It’s not a pledge, indeed, but it is an estimate.? The bond market has reacted quite strongly to the e? http://t.co/crpU3QpH Jan 26, 2012
  • RE: @SoberLook Does this post from Alea change your opinion at all? http://t.co/2hs1LTyN? http://t.co/p3Plmjnb Jan 26, 2012
  • MF Customers Face Long, and Possibly Fruitless, Slog http://t.co/MoMIalrc Law s/b modified: customer accts s/b top priority in broker BK Jan 26, 2012
  • Solar Cheaper Than Diesel Making India?s Mittal Believer http://t.co/ZW2ta2aB This is the right way 2 employ solar; with no subsidies $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • Obama Pushes Salad in Schools at $3B Cost to States http://t.co/M9nWkW4T Healthier food is no good if the kids don’t eat it, ask L.A. $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • Con Artist Starred in Sting That Cost $GOOG Millions http://t.co/ErAgeziD New motto: Don’t be evil, but if you are evil, make $$ by it Jan 26, 2012
  • This is y well-capitalized P&C insurers r hard 2 kill, & usually make $$ over the int-term: past losses r more than paid 4 by higher prems Jan 26, 2012
  • US Commercial P&C Rates to Climb, Marsh Says http://t.co/OxCUuSsU The insurance brokers know; after a year of losses comes a hard market Jan 26, 2012
  • @researchpuzzler @The_Analyst “There’s an institutional hedge fund analyst born every minute.” Alleged 2 PT Barnum but, http://t.co/ku1NlqZG Jan 26, 2012
  • @BarbarianCap What I am saying is that structural legal protections around economically necessary authorities & municipalities r significant Jan 26, 2012
  • @BarbarianCap PV of losses are typically small, except on odd munis that don’t have any necessary economic value 2 a municipality + Jan 26, 2012
  • @BarbarianCap Part of the difficulty is that states can’t default, and Ch 9 4 what municipalities can use it, merely gives breathing room + Jan 26, 2012
  • @BarbarianCap There will be significant issues, but even during the Depression, losses were remarkably small on munis. Taxes will rise. $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • @The_Analyst Then again, it’s probably more “a fool and his money are soon parted.” Due diligence ain’t always that great 4 institutions $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • @The_Analyst Typically they were pretty good salesmen to get fund #1 off the ground, even better 4 #2. W/fund #3 they sell “It’s fixed.” $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • Iran’s Ahmadinejad ups rates to stem money crisis http://t.co/6IhpevuO Sanctions r having an internal effect on the Iranian economy. $$ Jan 26, 2012
  • Niederhoffer Discusses Being Wrong http://t.co/mWrnI7mg Frank talk from one who blew up twice. Perhaps he has a risk control discipline now. Jan 26, 2012
  • What’s In Your 401(k) Fund Line-Up? http://t.co/1ufb7xk2 Plan sponsors have an obligation 2 remove poorly performing funds but many don’t Jan 26, 2012
  • Wither the Wirehouse RT @ReformedBroker: Whither the Wirehouse? http://t.co/E4Xtz5Ul Jan 25, 2012
  • Wither the wirehouse 😉 http://t.co/TnuMFvDE Jan 25, 2012
  • RE: @wallstCS None of the competitor companies you list compete w/ $RGA. $PRE does a little bit of life reinsurance &? http://t.co/v9r3kg5z Jan 25, 2012
  • @TimABRussell Yes, I think Bernanke is sincere in what he is doing. That doesn’t mean that it doesn’t confuse, or get the right result. $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • @TimABRussell That was the Greenspan strategy. Talk about the six sides of the square & confuse: Top, bottom, right, left, inside, outside Jan 25, 2012
  • Fed learns that it is easier to hide a needle if they put it in a larger haystack. $$ All for now on the Fed. Back to normal activity. Jan 25, 2012
  • Final Q on fiscal policy asking what if deficits aren’t cut. B says that deficits need to be cut. IT’S OVER!! Jan 25, 2012
  • Bernanke essentially says that everyone has a lot of slack assets, and can invest them after-tax at 2% in the long run. Jan 25, 2012
  • Q on CPI vs PCE, critics saying Fed planning to destroy 2% of currency value per year. B: CPI has made up numbers, healthcare differences $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • French reporter asks whether Fed would extend a loan to the IMF. “Raison detre” cute response, punts to Tsy and Congress $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • Mkt news intl reporter: why have forward guidance when you give out forecasts? Bernanke: guidance describes Fed’s decision, vs expectations Jan 25, 2012
  • Bernanke gets symmetric questions asking whether policy is doing too much or too little, on inflation and unemployment. 😉 $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • WP reporter: could the Fed bring unemployment down faster if it were more aggressive? Bernanke really doesn’t answer. Jan 25, 2012
  • In general, people analyze better with limited amounts of data — zero data (w/Kremlinology) and lots of data make analysis harder $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • I think the more data the Fed hands out, the more lost the press and average people get confused. Jan 25, 2012
  • Q: Why isn’t Fed doing more now if you think things will be bad for so long? Internally Bernanke reconsiders the value of press conferences. Jan 25, 2012
  • Bernanke says that low rates conquer all and so providing more data won’t hurt things — expectations are a lesser thing $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • Peter Barnes, Fox Business: possibility of negative expectations because the economy is viewed as much worse than previously thought $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • AP reporter asks about principal reductions for the housing crisis. Bernanke says that the FOMC is concerned, but doesn’t say much really $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • Median b/c FOMC is a “democracy.” In practice, though, the Fed chair has 12 votes Jan 25, 2012
  • Robin Harding of FT asks about forecast, and what it implies for FOMC policy: Bernanke says there’s no mechanism, look at the median Jan 25, 2012
  • to be able to be released — mentions that June 2011 principles are still in force for shrinking the balance sheet (in 2015?!) Jan 25, 2012
  • Reuters reporter asks for more data on balance sheet data, versus data on Fed funds — Bernanke says there is only so much data at a time + Jan 25, 2012
  • RT @joshuademasi: @AlephBlog All fed needs to do is create esoteric invesment vehicle cross hedging USHY in Rand and Real. What could g … Jan 25, 2012
  • Donna Moran (?) of Amer Banker — Basel 3, capital requirements, etc. Me: Fed supervision of biggest institutions not done well in past $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • Bernanke waffles on the question of what happens to savers, confusing saving and investing. Needs to consider what finl intermediation does Jan 25, 2012
  • Greg Robb(?) Marketwatch asks about Republicans, and how older people on fixed incomes survive, and whether he might resign if Reps win Jan 25, 2012
  • Greg Ip questions the asymmetry comments — I think Bernanke would be better off saying “asymmetric in the long run.” Jan 25, 2012
  • @joshuademasi The hate for the Fed exists because they were overly loose 1984-2006, regulated banks poorly & created much of this crisis $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • Hilsenrath asks about confidence in the FOMC’s forecasting abilities. Wonders which dot is Bernanke’s… Bernanke affirms limitations Jan 25, 2012
  • Torres of Bloomberg asks about near-term inflation — The Bernank points to falling commodity prices, slower global growth Jan 25, 2012
  • Decent question on the symmetric nature of monetary policy Jan 25, 2012
  • Toady comments on what he views as strength RT @agwarner: Liesman Alert! $FED Jan 25, 2012
  • Full set of projections from the FOMC: http://t.co/VqWfrYgL Worthy of note that their forecasting ability is subpar. Jan 25, 2012
  • Fed Funds Projections: http://t.co/Wd9lmEeO Jan 25, 2012
Recent Tweets

Recent Tweets

  • They may not have meant to publish it, but the results don’t seem too earthshattering — … http://t.co/MkmCtxnJ Jan 25, 2012
  • @Convertbond He was 1 of my professors @ Hopkins, & the only 1 w/a consistently free market viewpoint; Talked w/him @ http://t.co/k4mL15rp Jan 25, 2012
  • India to pay gold instead of dollars for Iranian oil. Oil and gold markets stunned http://t.co/ZRmnIjOz @JamesGRickards sounds like Ch 1 $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • Bears gone wild! http://t.co/s0mvx9LK What does it mean when bears get less pessimistic? Do we rally, or do things fall apart? Or both? $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • Retail in the Age of the Internet http://t.co/4wovantW Difficult 2c how the internet doesn’t change retail; has changed so many things $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • What Makes FPA Crescent Tick? http://t.co/ngisagdY A lot to learn from businesslike clever managers who insist on a margin of safety $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • You don?t WANT to be making iPhones, really http://t.co/cvG1rVqJ Baruach of Ultimi Barbarorum sets the record straight on manufacturing $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • The end of mutual funds is coming http://t.co/V9FhizVt @reformedbroker on the coming dominance of ETFs in 2022. My take in a comment below. Jan 25, 2012
  • The Pimco Premium?Totally Gross? http://t.co/QXBqRSpH Amazing what premiums to NAV some junk CEFs run by Pimco get up to. $$ >+70% Jan 25, 2012
  • Mitt Romney’s SOTU Challenge on the Mortgage Crisis http://t.co/xeTaeswA “u recognize the distress, u take the loss & let people reset.” $$ Jan 25, 2012
  • @MebFaber @onetwoko @The_Analyst Good stuff. I’ve written similar from both equity and debt perspectives. Alternative: NGDP growth+1% $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • @valuewalk yeh, especially for the highly compensated in private DB plans, b/c the PBGC limits the coverage any one person gets. $$ #ouch Jan 24, 2012
  • Examples: Autos and Telecom Bonds back in 2000, MBS (Esp non-GSE), GSEs, CDOs and finance 2007. Today? Governments. The poison of AAA/AA $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • It is usually wise to avoid investing in the largest or fastest growing sectors and subsectors in debt markets; boom presages a bust $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • @valuewalk Yes, that’s right, and the standards for that are squishy. Funny that life co acctg has 2b conservative, but not DB pensions $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • @The_Analyst Been writing about this off and on for the last 20 years in various forms. Sadly, doesn’t get traction because it’s complex $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • @The_Analyst yeh, especially since ERISA doesn’t apply to state & local DB plans; beneficiaries have 2 rely on protection from local laws $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • @The_Analyst There are no actuarial assumptions police for DB plans. W/private corps, the auditors can object (though they rarely do) $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • The Real Problem With the Global Bond Markets http://t.co/rYHw673u Catch my comment here: http://t.co/UCkhtXZx $$ Jan 24, 2012
  • CalPERS 2011 return below its assumed rate by 6.65 percentage points http://t.co/GDoBD6H2 Gets worse when you count in the fall in int rates Jan 24, 2012
  • Rob Arnott is doing enhanced indexing. So do most bond indexers; they match broad characteristics of the index, and … Jan 24, 2012
  • RE: @valuewalk Someone send the memo to Soros: http://t.co/ShMY4LWN http://t.co/6oA7kfMR Jan 24, 2012
  • New from Aleph Blog Against Simple Valuation Metrics: There have been a lot of articles dealing with use of corp… http://t.co/PaZElTUQ Jan 24, 2012
  • The new American divide http://t.co/lOmLT2xs Working class falls further away from marriage & religion & upper class becomes more isolated Jan 23, 2012
  • We Found Bin Laden So Now We?re In Search of Yield http://t.co/4veqJ6xB Y Buffett likes consistent $$ to flow from subs, but he pays no div Jan 23, 2012
  • The biggest Mark to Model error in the country http://t.co/Tgi5DVx7 ?Price indexes are more an art than a science.? Manipulable indeed. $$ Jan 23, 2012
  • How executives spend their company?s cash http://t.co/4xadWZqy Buybacks tend 2b procyclical; economically rational w/b countercyclical $$ Jan 23, 2012
  • Europe Stocks Cheapest to US Since ?04 as Net Rises Amid Recession Worry http://t.co/54ajiIQD Worth kicking the tires on nonfinancials $$ Jan 23, 2012
  • Generals have led the US three times already — Washington, Grant, and Eisenhower. That i… http://t.co/9w9C3AM2 Jan 23, 2012
Recent Tweets

Recent Tweets

  • This applies more to private equity than hedge funds.? Adjust the headline. http://t.co/Zy4kRVlg Jan 21, 2012
  • Economists: A Profession at Sea http://t.co/86wZognH Too much math, & not enough knowledge of how people, business & finance really work $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • Clever article $$ RT @srussolillo: A Standard, and Poor, Way of Investing http://t.co/mRr6rlve via @WSJ Jan 21, 2012
  • Collateral squeeze as strong as ever, Icap says http://t.co/v4QZvndP The big Draghi LTRO reduces repo rates & reduces repo volumes $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • Deutsche Analyst Sounded Alarm When Asked to Alter Numbers http://t.co/kPBGzk3o The pressure to get AAA ratings may have led to cheating $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • Investors plowing money into farmland ? but could come a cropper http://t.co/129i3pbR With all of the debt being applied, likely a bubble $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • I would not be quick to criticize all hedge funds off of this.? Most investors are trend-followers, and this affects ? http://t.co/50fK1lG8 Jan 21, 2012
  • point counterpoint http://t.co/VerP28OY @researchpuzzler explains why many investment organizations need a process for challenging theses $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • More myths around Greek CDS trigger risk http://t.co/PH8s3iwB @soberlook sets the record straight; risks are lower than most think $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • Your Inner Beardstown Lady http://t.co/QKPIopWf We all need to feel good about our investing, so we systemically overestimate our returns $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • How the Fed defeated President Truman to win its independence http://t.co/srUcFrKq Independence squandered by Greenspan & Bernanke $$ Jan 21, 2012
  • RT @maoxian: For every ~5000 followers you should be on ~350 lists. Easy to calculate number of fake followers on Twitter with the follo … Jan 20, 2012
  • About Rising Inflation, Please Remain Worried http://t.co/u8tIk0RA Maybe someone should suggest 2Krugman the fiscal multiplier is negative Jan 20, 2012
  • Global Deleveraging – You Are (Not) Here http://t.co/J4rCGvGL US only 1/3 of the way to Swedish levels of deleveraging $$ ht @historysquared Jan 20, 2012
  • RT @historysquared: Japan’s turn, or another false start. $USDJPY http://t.co/0ncucYLE $$ Which straw will break the camel’s back? #crunch Jan 20, 2012
  • Japan, Spain & France go up $$ RT @historysquared: Debt & deleveraging: Uneven progress on the path to growth http://t.co/sj3cljZU #ouch Jan 20, 2012
  • Portugal to need “debt haircut” as economy tips into Grecian downward spiral http://t.co/F40Huo5a Just when you thought Greece was all $$ Jan 20, 2012
  • Shilling says new global recession is here http://t.co/hWEMiSkg Europe leads downturn, US poised for milder decline; he suggests long Tsys Jan 20, 2012
  • RT @herbgreenberg: JP Morgan today: “We are currently witnessing THE LARGEST DROP IN REALIZED CORRELATION IN THE HISTORY OF THE US MARKE … Jan 20, 2012
  • Governments in a Hole as Land Sales Plummet http://t.co/pJA2dZN7 Local govts in China rely on land sales 2 fund budgets, slowdown bites $$ Jan 20, 2012
  • Further Thoughts on Real Estate?s Impact on GDP http://t.co/86NwJQ6S 0% growth in property investment could push China into ?hard landing? Jan 20, 2012
  • Retiree Imbalance Underlies Filing http://t.co/thdWL5sw Re $EK, always easier 2 offer more benefits, play w/assumptions, pay no $$ cost Jan 20, 2012
  • Three of a Kind http://t.co/YV57WRl5 Debt ceiling issues; Corporations lobby, get subsidies & pay no taxes; cost savings in Medicare, not $$ Jan 20, 2012
  • Corporate Debt to Surge in Sweden as Bank Credit Dries Up http://t.co/11mDdeYP Rising bank capital requirements reduce lending, +bonds $$ Jan 20, 2012
  • Students Shift to Computer Science http://t.co/cYPCTqwO Computing now penetrates into most lines of business and academic discipline $$ Jan 20, 2012
  • ITU Global Market Data http://t.co/VsUK6MEE Cool graphic showing the global growth of wireless & broadband over the last 10 years $$ #cool Jan 20, 2012
  • Army Foresees Expanded Use of Drones in US Airspace http://t.co/atcbzCmW Aren’t there some civil liberties issues here? Posse comitatus? $$ Jan 20, 2012
  • Housing Inventory Ends Year Down 22% http://t.co/xNbdrJkq There is a lot of dark supply out there, waiting to sell when prices rise $$ Jan 20, 2012
  • RE: @bloombergview It also perpetuates malinvestment.? We overinvest in housing and banking in the US, to the detrime? http://t.co/2yLTBqH5 Jan 20, 2012
  • @D_T_A_F In 1988, I read The Media Lab: Inventing the Future at M. I. T. http://t.co/orSrsFsa Xerox lost a lot, I learned a lot, great book Jan 20, 2012
  • New from Aleph Blog The Rules, Part XXIX: Risk premiums should never be capitalized, they should only be taken i… http://t.co/rrhWkItf Jan 20, 2012
  • New from Aleph Blog On Predicting the Future, Redux: From a reader, ptuomov:If you run a regression of the magen… http://t.co/MGBbnUAq Jan 20, 2012
Recent Tweets

Recent Tweets

  • 222 Years Of Long-Term Interest Rates http://t.co/o0qYWoTf It’s always the same; it’s never the same. When long rates will rise is a mystery Jan 19, 2012
  • Don?t become the next Kodak http://t.co/XCJAUb3s $EK actually developed the 1st digital camera, and dismissed it. Ignored Fuji too $$ #dumb Jan 19, 2012
  • Kodak Says Tech Firms Pushed It Into Chapter 11 http://t.co/que2uw63 $EK relies on the kindness of strangers; blames them 4 demise $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • Cat bond market bounces back in January http://t.co/TIvZpNMe Insurers looking 4 shelter from what could b another tough year 4 claims $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • Congress?s Benefits Add to $674B Pension Gap http://t.co/dD58E6NA & http://t.co/Zvpch4Gi Congress’ Pension Math Doesn’t Add Up $$ #debt Jan 19, 2012
  • China No Match for Dutch Plants as Philips Shavers Come Home http://t.co/LrkcOj04 Product engineer in Shanghai same cost as in Drachten $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • Soros Proves Nothing Rotten in Denmark as Home Financing Excels http://t.co/ShMY4LWN Did not calm me; reasons 4 past success r past $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • 13 Signs of a Bull Market http://t.co/Tn7FAY2A The market reacts positively to bad news. Defensive sectors underperform. And more $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • Chinese foreign exchange reserves shrink http://t.co/S2sMHb9V Shrank in 4Q2011 for the first time in more than a decade. $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • After half a century of trade surpluses, Japan is now in deficit http://t.co/H4T4ZqNb Still a current account surplus because of invt earns Jan 19, 2012
  • Apple expected to delve into textbooks http://t.co/BKtLcm0Z Can $AAPL can cut the costs in this anti-competitive area? $$ #overpriced Jan 19, 2012
  • In France, vintners erase a notorious past http://t.co/89sa3Dva Renaming French wine region rescues them from undue nuclear waste taint $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • Bet the house: why the FHA is going (for) broke http://t.co/80FO8wXg FHA repeating the loose lending standards of Fannie & Freddie in 2000s Jan 19, 2012
  • New from Aleph Blog Should I Invest or Save?: ?Should I Invest or Save??An easy question, not.? First, I need to… http://t.co/mBI62tYx Jan 19, 2012
  • New from Aleph Blog What?s Up? What?s Down?: I can?t remember who gave me this idea, but sometimes I troll throu… http://t.co/JAdXbKQT Jan 19, 2012
  • @real_taxloss No surprise. They have been clueless for the last 25 years. Even as a grad student, I wondered at them milking their monopoly Jan 19, 2012
  • Long and Variable Lags Between Money Supply and Inflation Dupes Economists http://t.co/5vrJUzE9 Monetary base drives inflation over 5-10 yrs Jan 19, 2012
  • What?s Going Down ?Down Under?? The Case for Shorting Australian Dollars http://t.co/b5lvUUIk Central Bank lowering rates, asset bubble $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • The Hidden Cost of Free Money http://t.co/hdw3gqxO Yield cv favors Borrow short, lend long on MBS. Arb will flip if/when short rates rise $$ Jan 19, 2012
  • @groditi I own HMC for clients. What do you think is most attractive here? Jan 18, 2012
  • @groditi I kinda knew that, but fewer cars r dying from rust than in the past. Large variety of car ages on the road. Jan 18, 2012
  • Greece, China and the USA http://t.co/48nSUg6G Greek Diaspora is in full swing. China cement capacity half of world capacity. & more, wow $$ Jan 18, 2012
  • It?s Early But S&P 500 Earnings Beats Are Less Common; Nobody Seems To Care http://t.co/ZP3JtxWF We got our rally hats on! Who cares! 😉 Jan 18, 2012
  • The great Australian bond run http://t.co/MePO8FK1 Decided not to let AUD appreciate -> low rates -> asset bubble. Import loose $$ policy Jan 18, 2012
  • The Book On Mitt Romney: Here Is John McCain’s Entire Opposition Research File http://t.co/i3WAsOYo I guess MR could b a chameleon on plaid Jan 18, 2012
  • Is Egypt Running Out of Money? Ask Cairo Drivers http://t.co/Y3TBSu9D Enormous lines @ Egyptian gas stations due2 fuel delivery cutbacks $$ Jan 18, 2012
  • MIT Economists Running Central Banks http://t.co/5AbMGuDn Didn’t c the great recession coming, why should we expect them to c inflation? $$ Jan 18, 2012
  • Auto Plants at Capacity, Buoying U.S. Economy http://t.co/5ZwJhKfX Pretty optimistic on autos. Wonder how sustainable it is. $$ #vroom Jan 18, 2012
  • European Hedge Funds Line Up Bets on China Downturn http://t.co/OSkAoRxq Bets getting a little thick here, could there b a shakeout coming? Jan 18, 2012
  • New fund flows and limited supply provide support to the muni market http://t.co/3wuD5WRF Muni finances slowly improving except retiree bfts Jan 18, 2012
  • Canada’s Housing Bubble About to Burst? http://t.co/OaCYVzeX & http://t.co/dzBX9KEY Keeping currency cheap induces low rates &asset bubble Jan 18, 2012
  • http://t.co/QQyG3IkE A prospectus, please, with risk factors… touting the good bits is not appreciated. Jan 18, 2012
Recent Tweets

Recent Tweets

  • Definitely, just followed and added 2 RSS RT @tylercowen: Sober Look is an underrated, underdiscussed economics blog, http://t.co/aewQejQX Jan 17, 2012
  • DOL Makes Nice on Investment Advice http://t.co/1PDeFbDg Offers defined contribution plan sponsors new options 4 participant invt advice $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • How will the world live with $100 oil? http://t.co/xW7LofrK Demand destruction begins at a level north of there $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Marc Faber Favors Equities, Forecasts World War III http://t.co/A9V0rC2E Middle East will blow up; new regimes will be less Western-friendly Jan 17, 2012
  • Heads I win, tails you pay http://t.co/ZXCklpAw State DB pensions gamble on high risky asset returns; need >10%/yr to meet 8% targets $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Natural Gas Prices Are Plummeting http://t.co/RBljqGIM Fracturing shale leads to a temporary glut of natural gas. $$ #shalestorm Jan 17, 2012
  • Market Shrinks First Time Since ?09 on U.S. Buybacks, Sales http://t.co/p1VyvjXi Bullish for equities if debt levels stay in check. $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • @BloombergGov Sorry about last tweet deleted. BRK has large deferred tax liabilities. Let it stop avoiding having GAAP income taxed $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • @BloombergGov I will agree after Warren Buffett sells his BRK shares, and pays tax on the capital gain. $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Low interest rates keep exchange rate down &imports asset bubble RT @edwardnh: Robert Shiller: “Sweden has a bubble” http://t.co/K1pFg300 $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Supermarkets Cater to Food Stamp Recipients http://t.co/q9pcJSoc Demand surges when food stamps arrive, requires planning $$ #dependency Jan 17, 2012
  • Electricity Prices Decline 50% as Shale Spurs Glut http://t.co/4CzVKh9n 2nd order effects of the shalestorm grow, power plants deferred $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Investors Ignore Nordic House Bubble Risk http://t.co/hX8aDAgB Low interest rates keep exchange rate down & imports asset bubble, until $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Wiring the Brain, Literally, to Treat Stubborn Disorders http://t.co/sx2QOipi Welcome to the cyborg era. New meaning2 “All in your head” Jan 17, 2012
  • Mapping My Genome, Peeking Into a Scary Future http://t.co/ajxT6zmp A nervous reporter decides to peek behind the curtain of his DNA $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Fitch Examines Global Credit Growth Figures http://t.co/Yqw7Vci4 Question marks over mid-sized banks in Russia, Brazil and Turkey $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • A New Weapon in the Fight Against Superbugs http://t.co/bSCq5DNS Use viruses 2 invade bacterial cells & make sensitive 2 antibiotics $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • A Gut Check for Many Ailments http://t.co/Ot0DTY0p Growing body of research shows gut affects bodily functions far beyond digestion $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • What if the Doctor Is Wrong? http://t.co/JpbbVXOS Some Cancers, Asthma, Etc., Can B Tricky 2 Diagnose, Lead 2 Incorrect Treatments $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • The Rally That Wouldn’t Die! http://t.co/pAOfwrqu Only thing that bothers me about owning the long bond is that it is getting popular $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • @davidgaffen I’m not sure, David. Economics is never linear. Fits and Starts. As for the end, simply that someone leave the Eurozone. $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • More US Catholics take complaints to church court http://t.co/hYOvEncF As a kid I wanted to study canon law, now it’s interesting $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • The Unintended Reformation http://t.co/EyCGC1FG A good review of what seems to be a lousy book. My comment presently is the last one $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • S&P Cuts Rating on Europe’s Bailout Fund http://t.co/ki7arbBr The collapse of leverage backed by leverage continues. End is coming $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Greek Default Fears Grow as Debt Talks Stumble http://t.co/0Zmmp63w Enough debt held by private investors hedged by CDS to stymie it $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Sarkozy Dealt Rating Blow 100 Days Before Poll http://t.co/693BKrTb He is more in trouble for defending the Euro than losing the rating $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • China: Get Ready for Turbulence http://t.co/1qShQatv Much Investment in China is a waste, because there is no demand for what is created $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • China Investment Boom on the Edge http://t.co/EQT2tdt7 Shadow banking and other types of leveraged lending are reaching extreme levels $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • China Data, Part 2: Slowing Growth http://t.co/b9JiEEw6 Deceleration in China’s GDP growth is almost certain, but how deep will it be? $$ Jan 17, 2012
  • Iran to Give ?Firm? Reply to Scientist Murder http://t.co/S3Wk495D Bluff and Counter-bluff. No one will do much of anything here. $$ Jan 17, 2012
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