Day: April 4, 2014

Sorted Weekly Tweets

Sorted Weekly Tweets

Rest of the World

  • Putin’s Rejection of the West, in Writing?http://t.co/X0SOPFH80d?”Russia must be viewed as a unique and original civilization…” $$ $MACRO?Apr 05, 2014
  • Japan Working Women Face Tax Blow as Their Numbers Swell?http://t.co/D38taPNgWT?Govt’s like women working o/s home: can tax their output $$?Apr 05, 2014
  • China Leverage Seen Rising Through 2016?http://t.co/8hJzmlSBp5?It’s relatively worse than advertised, debts r private, bank & muni $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • China Unsated by US Ham Means More Food Deals?http://t.co/Cn7hFTEGwP?If China is rebalancing to consumption, expect large food imports $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Rajan Offers No Solace as Developers Fight Rut?http://t.co/Ml8RhIt7Eb?Rising rates put pressure on Indian businessmen $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • CHINA IS IMPORTING GOLD SECRETLY USING MILITARY CHANNELS?http://t.co/gYAjRrwz1c?@JamesGRickards new book is coming out in a few days $$ $GLD?Apr 01, 2014
  • How rumour sparked panic and three-day bank run in Chinese city?http://t.co/i3K74leRHG?All it took was a rumor that went viral $$ $FXI $SPY?Apr 01, 2014
  • Foreign Policy Legacy of Obama Administration in European Hands?http://t.co/LTF2ozdpyA?U don’t want Europeans 2question the value of NATO $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Chinese Private Sector Debt?http://t.co/4LMSyjvEV9?China’s ratio of private debt to GDP is higher than the US & EU http://t.co/lXhCxlzumX $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Poor Coordination Led to Flawed Search for Missing Malaysia Airlines Flight 370?http://t.co/RugoIUSm1y?Maybe, but would have been hard $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • South Sudan Ethnic Hatred Drives Rebel Leader?s White Army?http://t.co/diy5Tk9W8M?Read the last sentence & u will c y this war persists $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • She?s lost 3 sons in the war & is adamant should continue. ?The war will not be stopped until we kill all Dinka, including the children,? $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • China Burns Speculators as $5.5B Lost on Yuan Bets?http://t.co/srRCSJ9kmU?Real market goes more than 1 way, doles out punishment 2losers $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Almost 10,000 Divorces Each Day in China’s Breakup Boom?http://t.co/0T7pTpeg4e?Driven by increasing economics & greater freedom 2 do so $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Dashed Ikea Dreams Show Decades Lost to Bribery in Ukraine?http://t.co/9fU4nPMnSj?Corruption & denial of propty rights keep nations poor $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • China’s $14.5B Test?http://t.co/W9lO6L2LDc?China seizes $14.5B assets from family, associates of ex-security chief http://t.co/6STqFY74DB $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • China Lake Saved From Stink Leaves Fiscal Cleanup for Li?http://t.co/lAOloKNSxo?Ability 2 service municipal debt is a problem 4 China $$?Apr 01, 2014

US Politics & Policy

  • A Catastrophe Like No Other?http://t.co/zKuULERWYm?Peggy Noonan: The president tries to put a good face on ObamaCare $$ #unforcederror $TLT?Apr 05, 2014
  • Janet Yellen’s Human Message Gets Clouded?http://t.co/8oYHkdPN4W?Truth is monetary policy is weak w/respect to unemployment $$ Change regs?Apr 03, 2014
  • Yelp Reviews Brew Fight Over Free Speech, Fairness?http://t.co/2SoSO8K54f?Free speech doesn’t mean u can say anything, libel is a crime $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Democrats Bet on Technology Instead of Paying Down Debts?http://t.co/UjTKK9VFjC?Dems put lack of $$ where mouth is, b/c debts don’t matter?Apr 01, 2014
  • Constitutional conundrum: Michigan demand 4a balanced budget could trigger amendment convention?http://t.co/UU2pVgEnuu?States take power? $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • The House Republican Mess?http://t.co/COfoZ0303M?GOP leadership held unannounced voice vote on a one-year unfunded “doc fix” 4 Medicare $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • What Is a Patent Troll? Congress, Courts Try to Find Out?http://t.co/BDDs3DOccp?Should not be able to patent ideas, many ways 2 implement $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Controversial FHA payoff rule to end?http://t.co/gopPWWpQYL?At closings, FHA required one month’s interest from sellers who prepaid mtge $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Supreme Court skeptical of computer-based patents?http://t.co/nHLTpDyP8J?Multiple ways 2 achieve same results w/computer code $$ $MSFT $GOOG?Apr 01, 2014
  • Yellen Assures Markets on Interest Rates?http://t.co/OeOTmQHZuj?In the short-run, monetary looseness helps, in the long-run it hurts $$ $TLT?Apr 01, 2014
  • GOP Sees a New Path for Senate Through Iowa?http://t.co/wsb8jJKpWd?Looking at the data, the GOP will have a hard time taking the Senate $$?Apr 01, 2014?? ? ? ? ? ?

Market Impact

  • Buying Bonds in Sellers? World: Prepare to Fail?http://t.co/y7DBRjX57P?If u r a life insurer, don’t want 2 give up income from prem bonds $$?Apr 05, 2014
  • Emerging markets ETFs take off in March and June?http://t.co/Dd5IMvcU8B?Bear market rallies r short & sharp, watch monetary tightening $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Investors Clamor for Risky Debt Offerings?http://t.co/pYAj8nxQve?High yield isn’t so high anymore, & income starvation leads ppl astray $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Gross Worst as Volatility Spikes in Fund?http://t.co/V1ncKkJNHW?Bad idea to move to 5s just as Yellen began to speak unguardedly $$ #taper?Apr 03, 2014
  • Forget the lottery. Time for the Billionaire ETF??http://t.co/K2IZvH5CuA?Kind of a follow the 13Fs of the wealthy fund, could do worse $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Vanguard Beats BlackRock Winning Most ETF Money This Year?http://t.co/V1IppyRKyv?Low fees, sticky clients, tracks index well, low fees $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Andreesen On How To Kill Stock Market?http://t.co/sbgdxaumyy?Personal pet peeve is how Sarbox killed off sponsored listings of fgn firms $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Activists Beat S&P 500 in 48% Gain for Shareholders?http://t.co/TwRuCI4lp3?Cool interactive graphic $$ $SPY?Apr 01, 2014
  • Investors Picking Fights Enhance Value as Stocks Beat S&P 500?http://t.co/c7N0cM7ytB?Problem: avg investors can’t find those stocks early $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Biggest ETF Flow From US Debt Since ?10 on Growth Optimism?http://t.co/YEy2MGXYKI?Funny how long Tsys haven’t tanked yet $$ $TLT?Apr 01, 2014
  • So Far, So Meh?http://t.co/0dCzzhpav3?@ReformedBroker tells us to expect a boring year when all is done with lots of jolts inbetween $$ $SPY?Apr 01, 2014
  • Flows Don?t Follow Value, They Follow Performance?http://t.co/lwe3zP0zIX?@reformedbroker tells u small investors r always late & lose $$?Apr 01, 2014??

High Frequency Trading (Boo!)

  • Michael Lewis Feels No Shame as Book Curdles Tempers?http://t.co/qIbX9ztO2r?Must admit, I lost respect 4 him on this last media circus $$?Apr 05, 2014
  • High-Frequency Trading May Be Too Efficient?http://t.co/3yLdqjijcA?@matt_levine explains the effect of HFT, who gets hurt, who doesn’t $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • High-Frequency Traders Chase Currencies as Stock Volume Recedes?http://t.co/YSHRec5emx?Ponder how HFT can b good 1 place & bad in others $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • What Michael Lewis Gets Wrong About High-Frequency Trading?http://t.co/1kf3Uh9fDH?He gets quite a bit wrong; this is a good summary $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • An Adaptation From ?Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt,? by Michael Lewis?http://t.co/8TB1fkkzbt?Tells story creating a fair stock exchange $$?Apr 01, 2014??

Marvel Comics Movies

  • Kevin Feige, Marvel’s Superhero at Running Movie Franchises?http://t.co/R5wWdhlAUX?Great article. Explains the strategic aspects well $$?Apr 05, 2014
  • Comic Wars: How Two Tycoons Battled Over the Marvel Comics Empire–And Both Lost?http://t.co/NuRuteq8f1?Provides backstory for Marvel $$?Apr 05, 2014??

Companies & Industries

  • Energy Future Talks Pit Billionaires Against Billionaires?http://t.co/Foaq3v50rf?& the IRS, who is owed billions, creditors want 2 stiff $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Old Math Casts Doubt on Accuracy of Oil Reserve Estimates?http://t.co/wM1FQHAKvz?Life of fracked wells is a lot shorter than conventional $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • New $GOOG Shares Hit Market as Founders Cement Grip With Split?http://t.co/FdYqQCPFPR?Won’t hurt much, just don’t issue2many C shs $$ $GOOGL?Apr 03, 2014
  • The Argument for $75 Oil Should Be $95 Oil?http://t.co/2EZdu90Scv?W/weak global econ, oil should b falling but it is not; new equilibrium $$?Apr 01, 2014??

Other

  • Loans Are Finally Easier to Get?http://t.co/JaVFE1LBLG?If this persists for 6 months, start watching consumer price inflation $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Jules Kroll’s KBRA Out to Disrupt Cozy Ratings Agency Business?http://t.co/xGOiU3Tg7V?Starts in area of greatest failure: securitizations $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • So U Think You’re Smarter Than A CIA Agent?http://t.co/OLWUPMnQi9?Good Judgment project finds bright ppl who predict better than experts $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Do We Hate Female Bosses??http://t.co/0oR9PBiSLe?Never had one, so I don’t know. 😉 $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • How Americans Meet Their Spouses?http://t.co/f5L9GZ6i8K?Fewer people meet their spouses @ work, more meet them over the internet than b4 $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • US Airports Are Off the Chart?http://t.co/s1dO4kOeOR?@Ritholtz shows how lack of infrastructural investment hurts the US $$ $SPY $TLT?Apr 01, 2014
  • Millennials Mired in Wealth Gap as Older Americans Gain?http://t.co/OfXlbWIV0l?If u had lots of debts & few assets going into 2008, ouch $$?Apr 01, 2014??

Wrong

  • 2hard: US Seeks Changes to ?Skewed? Data in UN Climate Draft?http://t.co/udApXg8XFq?Models r 2complex 2produce any sort of accuracy $$ $SPY?Apr 05, 2014
  • Wrong: Investment strategies you’d be foolish to ignore – Pros?http://t.co/CTaNMR01Sb?Many of these might work in the short-run, not L-T $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Wrong: Schwab: HFT a cancer that needs to be stopped?http://t.co/iVh9eatou2?It’s more complex than that; improves mkts in some ways $$ $SPY?Apr 03, 2014
  • Wrong: Christine Lagarde: global economic growth is still too slow?http://t.co/doefcWDiLN?Aside frm degegulation govts can’t affct growth $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Wrong: This Ratio Reveals The Market’s Top Bargains?http://t.co/Hs9A55z9To?Makes rookie error of applying FCF 2 financials, can’t b done $$?Apr 03, 2014
  • Wrong: The Modern View of the Stock Market?http://t.co/OnhWdKgPrj?Value of MPT is that it sidelines smart people who would b competitors $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Meh: Flight 370 Search Gains Vessel With Black Box-Detector?http://t.co/5PhcNkIEhL?Late 2 arrive; can’t probe more than 1 mile deep $$ $BA?Apr 01, 2014
  • Maybe: Home Sales in US Poised to Surge With Spring?http://t.co/Pi2oE4es0n?Maybe if prices come down this might happen, few moveup buyers $$?Apr 01, 2014
  • Very Wrong: When You Really Look, Financial Quicksand Turns Into Oligarchical BS?http://t.co/LhiEZNxtas?Claims Govt debt doesn’t matter $$?Apr 01, 2014??

Comments, Replies, and Retweets

  • @charlie_simpson Marry young, have children, a recipe for happiness that fights loneliness — true for men as well.?Apr 02, 2014
  • @insidermonkey @jimcramer @katsuyama Stupid argument. Read & learn?http://t.co/AtOpRCaRrN?$$?Apr 02, 2014
  • . @dpinsen seems he just wants it 2 stop. Also notes Darfur attacked once again?http://t.co/HRQ1xRLNYc?& http://t.co/dDE995HFi0 $$ $SPY $TLT?Apr 01, 2014
  • @dpinsen I’m not backing the Ukraine in NATO — only caution. NATO should be bold or silent, but not in-between, counting the costs. $$?Mar 30, 2014
Best of the Aleph Blog, Part 24

Best of the Aleph Blog, Part 24

These articles appeared between November 2012 and January 2013:

On Time Horizons

Investment advice without a time horizon is not investment advice.

This Election Will Solve Nothing

So far that is true of the 2012 elections.

NOTA Bene

We need to add “None of the Above” as an electoral choice in all elections.

Eliminating the Rating Agencies, Part 2

Eliminating the Rating Agencies, Part 3

Where I propose a great idea, and then realize that I am wrong.

The Rules, Part XXXV

Stability only comes to markets in a self-reinforcing mode, from buy and hold (and sell and sit on cash) investors who act at the turning points.

The Rules, Part XXXVI

It almost never makes sense to play for the last 5% of something; it costs too much. Getting 90-95% is relatively easy; grasping for the last 5-10% usually results in losing some of the 90-95%.

Charlie Brown the Retail Investor

Where Lucy represents Wall Street, the football is returns, and Charlie Brown is the Retail Investor. Aaauuuggh!

On Hucksters

Why to be careful when promised results seem too good, and they get delayed, or worse.

Bombing Baby BDC Bonds

Avoid bonds with few protective covenants, unless the borrower is very strong.

On Math Education

Why current efforts to change Math Education will fail. ?Pedagogy peaked in the ’50s, and has been declining since then.

On Human Fertility, Part 2

On the continuing decline in human fertility across the globe.

If you Want to be Well-off in Life

Simple advice on how to be better off. ?Warning: it requires discipline.

Young People Should Favor Low Discount Rates

If we had assumed lower discount rates in the past, we wouldn’t have the problems we do now. ?(And maybe DB pensions would have died sooner.)

Problems in Life Insurance

On why we should be concerned about life insurance accounting.

Investing In P&C Insurers

On why analyzing P&C insurers boils down to analyzing management teams.

Selling Options Cheaply (Did You Know?)

Naive bond investors often take on risks that they did not anticipate.

Book Review: The Snowball, Part One

Book Review: The Snowball, Part Two

Book Review: The Snowball, Part Three

Book Review: The Snowball, Part Four

Book Review: The Snowball, Epilogue

My review of the most comprehensive book on the life of Warren Buffett.

On Watchlists

How I met one of the Superinvestors of Graham-and -Doddsville, and how I generate investment ideas.

Why do Value Investors Like to Index?

How I admitted to not having ?a correct perspective on value indexing.

Evaluating Regulated Financials

Why regulated financials are different from other stocks, and how to analyze them.

Locking in a Smaller Loss

Why people are willing to lock in a loss against inflation, because of bad monetary policy.

Why I Sold the Long End

Great timing.

The Evaluation of Common Stocks

Value investing is still powerful, but the competition is a lot tougher.

The Order of Battle in Financial Planning for Ordinary Folks

The basics of personal finance

Sorting Through the News

How to use my free news screener to cut through the news flow, and eliminate noise.

On Financial Blogging

So why do we spend the time at this?

Matching Assets and Liabilities Personally

How to manage investments to fit your own need for cash in the future.

Penny Wise, Pound Foolish

How short-sighted, incompetent managers destroy value.

Expensive High Yield ? II

No such thing as a bad trade , only an early trade… high yield prices moved higher from here.

2012 Financial Report of the US Government

Chronicling the financial promises made by the Federal Government

On Insurance Investing, Part 1

On Insurance Investing, Part 2

On Insurance Investing, Part 3

The first three parts of my 7-part series on how to understand this complex group of sub-industries.

How to Become Super-Rich?

Even Buffett didn’t get super-rich by only investing his own money. ?He had to invest the money of others as well. ?The super-rich form corporations and grow them; they build institutions bigger than themselves.

The Product that Never saw the Light of Day

On the Variable Annuity product that would simply be a tax scam. ?Later I would learn that product exists now, just not in the form I proposed 8 years earlier when it didn’t exist.

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